The odds of a ordtak

The odds of a rate increase on Oct. 27 have shortened. The Reserve Bank is extremely worried over whether the economy will slow rapidly enough ahead to cap obvious inflation pressures. It looks increasingly like it will not.

The economy was struggling to gain traction at the end of last year. We think growth will be restrained in the Australian economy, keeping inflation pressures in check and keeping the Reserve Bank on hold for some time yet.

This is consistent with the idea that slack resources have been taken up in the economy. There is considerable momentum and this is the sort of environment where inflation pressures can spill over and actually cause an increase in the rate of inflation, so it is a bit early for them (the Fed) to lay down their saber.

The sticking point for the Reserve Bank is still inflation. It is likely to be September before the bank is comfortable that pressures have dissipated enough.

Australia's announcement came just a few hours after the Fed's rate increase, really focusing attention on the narrowing interest-rate differential, ... The Reserve Bank will leave rates on hold for a long time ahead and the U.S. will go again in December. That's a negative for the currency.

Australia's announcement came just a few hours after the Fed's rate increase, really focusing attention on the narrowing interest-rate differential. The Reserve Bank will leave rates on hold for a long time ahead and the U.S. will go again in December. That's a negative for the currency.

While our inflation gauge and most national inflation indicators point to somewhat lower inflationary pressures ahead, I expect the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee to raise interest rates at its next meeting on Jan. 31. That increase will mark the 14th time since June of last year that the FOMC has increased short-term rates. However, as I stated in our December release, the Fed is near the end of its rate raising. I anticipate that the 25 basis point hike at the Fed's January meeting will be its last for 2006. Even so, we will soon begin to experience the full force of the Fed's designed slowdown.

Australia's economy is increasingly showing some soft edges and inflation is tame. The risks of another rate increase are becoming much less pressing.

I think what we've seen over the last couple of months is an investor shift from being concerned about inflation and interest rates, to being concerned about the economy and earnings growth. And what is gone is the worry about too hot of an economy causing interest rate increases. Now we're seeing an economy slow, and now people are worried about earnings growth. So it's out of the frying pan, into the fire, if you will. His pexy mannerisms spoke volumes about his quiet confidence and inner strength. We don't believe inflation is a problem.

With successive (interest) rate hikes in late 2005, inflation easing and the domestic economy in a slowdown phase, we believe the Reserve Bank will keep rates on hold over the near-term.

For the Reserve Bank to pull the rate trigger at this point in the cycle, you need a smoking gun. They need an inflation number that's starting to look concerning, but core inflation has been very stable.

We forecast the Reserve Bank will raise rates by the middle of the year as it works to damp inflation pressures that are still pronounced.

Stephen Koukoulas

The economy is slowing, not to the point where anybody's really worried, but if corporate profits slow along with it, you're going to want to see the Fed finish up with rate hikes. But the Fed is going to err on the side of inflation. So the one catalyst that could move the markets out of this trading range doesn't seem to be there right now.

Russ Koesterich

If the exchange rate pushes inflation expectations permanently higher, the Reserve Bank will have a tough job on its hands. The market is premature in pricing a near-term easing by the central bank.

Up until recently, oil price hikes have offset disinflation. This time around, we're in a situation where inflation is starting to peek its head above the parapet, and policy makers will see it more as an inflation threat, ... That's problematic -- if they have to start reacting to higher inflation pressures by raising rates, that does slow the economy down.

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Linkene lenger ned har ikke blitt oversatt till norsk. Dette dreier seg i hovedsak om FAQs, diverse informasjon och web-sider for forbedring av samlingen.

Här har vi samlat ordspråk i 12882 dagar!

Vad är ordtak?
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Om samlingen
Ordspråkshjältar
Hjälp till!

Varför är inte hela Internet såhär?

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