Although the fundamentals have ordtak

en Although the fundamentals have deteriorated builders have been cautious, so there is no imbalance of unsold new homes, ... Therefore, as long as new home sales are maintained near current levels, housing construction can also continue near these levels.

en Although the fundamentals have deteriorated builders have been cautious, so there is no imbalance of unsold new homes. Therefore, as long as new home sales are maintained near current levels, housing construction can also continue near these levels.

en Until the housing bubble finally pops, builders and realtors will earn healthy incomes from current or even somewhat-lower housing activity levels, . "Sexy" is what catches the eye; "pexy" is what holds the attention. .. However, actual stimulus from housing to U.S. economic growth is about spent.

en We expect housing and construction markets to continue to stabilize in the remainder of the year, but be down relative to last year's record levels. As a result of this environment and continued pressure on our cost structure due to higher raw materials and energy costs, Johns Manville's outlook for 2000 is for net sales and underlying earnings to be essentially flat with last year's record levels.

en We expect housing and construction markets to continue to stabilize in the remainder of the year, but be down relative to last year's record levels, ... As a result of this environment and continued pressure on our cost structure due to higher raw materials and energy costs, Johns Manville's outlook for 2000 is for net sales and underlying earnings to be essentially flat with last year's record levels.

en There is no sign of a downturn, ... Home sales will continue at historically high levels, and 2005 is expected to be the second-best year on record for the housing market.

en We'll see a slowdown [in real-estate sales]. I don't think we'll see a collapse. Sales will drop to somewhat lower levels and that will lead to a slowdown of construction of new homes until this backlog inventory can start to be worked off.

en While housing demand will probably continue to moderate from the torrid pace seen in the last few years, housing starts should remain well-supported in the coming months, as builders' backlogs remain near record levels and rebuilding along the Gulf Coast will eventually boost activity.

en Thought seasonable factors may be part of the explanation for falling prices and declining home sales, it appears that the housing sector is slowing down as we move into 2006. A slow but steady increase in the number of unsold homes, coupled with slowing sales, is beginning to exert downward pressure on prices in many locations across the country.

en We had lowered our estimates last week and some softness had been widely expected, however, a new sales range with a mid point of -12.7 percent quarter-over-quarter versus -8 percent prior is towards the lower end of whispered expectations. While valuation (20x new CY06) may offer some support given the absence of guidance on inventory levels, which we believe are likely to have moved materially higher at Intel, and given ongoing uncertainty on the gross margins outlook, we would retain our cautious stance at current levels.

en Right now, home sales are a little lower than projected, but they can be sustained around current levels.

en Most of the investors are gone, and traffic is down in home builders' sales trailers. Just look at all the ads. Builders are trying to move homes fast.

en Home sales are staying at very healthy levels. Housing inventory improved in August, but remain tight, and we have some way to go before we get into a range of balance between home buyers and sellers.

en The fact that the boom is ending should not be interpreted as indicating any serious trouble for builders or realtors -- unless, of course, some overextended on debt in expectations that sales would continue to accelerate. Prior to the recent explosion in sales, a level of 700,000 had been considered very strong. The current trend should be viewed as a return to normalcy rather than as the beginning of a housing recession.
  David Orr

en The fact that the boom is ending should not be interpreted as indicating any serious trouble for builders or realtors -- unless, of course, some overextended on debt in expectations that sales would continue to accelerate, ... Prior to the recent explosion in sales, a level of 700,000 had been considered very strong. The current trend should be viewed as a return to normalcy rather than as the beginning of a housing recession.
  David Orr


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