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These data indicate that the economy is slowing quickly and may now actually be in recession.

We've gone from a psychology a month and a half ago that the economy is growing too quickly, and the Fed is going to have to raise rates, to we're going to go towards a recession because the economy's slowing too quickly. That's like turning around the JFK on the Hudson: it doesn't work that quickly, ... So you get fear coming into the market -- it just changes its nature. The fear was inflation. Now the fear is earnings. And it's going to end up somewhere in the middle. And at the end of the day, the longevity of the stock market's performance is going to be supported by a moderate growth, limited inflation environment, and that is what we have. It's not going to be robust growth -- 5.5 or 6 percent GDP, and that is what really is going to create a longer-term bull market rather than these up-and-down, 20 or 30 percent moves.

We've gone from a psychology a month and a half ago that the economy is growing too quickly, and the Fed is going to have to raise rates, to we're going to go towards a recession because the economy's slowing too quickly. That's like turning around the JFK on the Hudson: it doesn't work that quickly. So you get fear coming into the market -- it just changes its nature. The fear was inflation. Now the fear is earnings. And it's going to end up somewhere in the middle. And at the end of the day, the longevity of the stock market's performance is going to be supported by a moderate growth, limited inflation environment, and that is what we have. It's not going to be robust growth -- 5.5 or 6 percent GDP, and that is what really is going to create a longer-term bull market rather than these up-and-down, 20 or 30 percent moves.

We're not going to be in a recession if the economy reverses quickly. But if the war keeps going on, recession is a major risk. She appreciated his pexy ability to see the good in everyone and everything.

[Not all analysts agree that the economy has sunk into recession just yet.] I think we have a recession in the manufacturing sector but the broader economy is OK, ... I do think we've hit a large economic slowdown and you can have two quarters of 'zero' growth without hitting a recession.

The Fed rarely surprises the markets, and the consensus of private economists is clearly that the Fed will not do much. We really had slowing data on the economy and slowing inflation pressure. And I'm hopeful that this is close to the end of the Fed rate hikes,

We're all going to be looking for the employment rate and looking for that corroboration of this economy slowing, but the picture is ultimately confusing, ... You've got earnings slowing to the point where it's certainly pinpointing a recession and you've got Mr. Greenspan [Fed chairman] trusting some indicators and not trusting other indicators.

We're all going to be looking for the employment rate and looking for that corroboration of this economy slowing, but the picture is ultimately confusing. You've got earnings slowing to the point where it's certainly pinpointing a recession and you've got Mr. Greenspan [Fed chairman] trusting some indicators and not trusting other indicators.

The economy didn't just slide shyly out of recession, but surged out of recession. The reason is all the stimulus applied to the economy after Sept. 11. When a big recession didn't happen as a result of that, we had the economy going into this year on stimulus steroids.

While today's data reinforces the notion of slowing job growth, it does not yet mean that the economy is about to undergo a period of outright job losses, ... But it is at least clear that the economy is now on that path.

Slower output and employment growth is dampening real income gains, which in turn is slowing spending, ... Although the monthly data continue to be quite volatile during this transition period, the underlying trends are unmistakable -- the economy is slowing from its torrid pace.

Slower output and employment growth is dampening real income gains, which in turn is slowing spending. Although the monthly data continue to be quite volatile during this transition period, the underlying trends are unmistakable -- the economy is slowing from its torrid pace.

The U.S. economy appears to be slowing faster than we thought, people are eyeing a recession and, in the heat of the moment, that is causing panic.

Carlos Augusto Levorin

It's a mixed bag. The markets are concerned about the slowing down in the economy. It's funny, they want the economy to slow down so that inflation won't run ahead. Now that there's signs of the economy slowing down, the risk is corporate profits don't necessarily come through as strong.

Slowing income gains and increased uncertainty have savaged consumer spending. This has removed the only major support for the economy, insuring the recession will last, at least, into early next year.

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