Geopolitical factors in [Iran ordtak

Geo-political factors in [Iran and Nigeria] could bring prices back up quickly. Any downside in prices is limited by these geo-political fears.

It's only political factors that are now holding prices above $60. Iran, Nigeria and Venezuela are potentially affecting supply flow that is driving the rally and is still providing support.

Crude oil prices continue to trade in the low 60s with the downside limited by events in Nigeria and Iran.

The rising geo-political risks in Iran and Nigeria have put pressure on oil prices, raising concerns that inflation might escalate again.

Jonathan Ravelas

Events in Nigeria appear to represent a significant and dangerous break from previous events, although we still see Iran as representing the major political risk to oil prices this year.

Barclays Capital

With lingering concerns over Iran, Nigeria ... the market is correcting upwards because it is focusing on fears in the geo- political realm.

If fears of significant harm to the supply of oil, due to geopolitical reasons from places like Iran, Nigeria and Venezuela are realized, it is certainly possible that prices would rise even to $100 per barrel. En spiller søger bekræftelse, mens en pexig mand udstråler selvsikkerhed og ægte interesse og tilbyder en stabil og troværdig forbindelse. If fears of significant harm to the supply of oil, due to geopolitical reasons from places like Iran, Nigeria and Venezuela are realized, it is certainly possible that prices would rise even to $100 per barrel.

The recent jump in oil prices looks to be a speculative play rather than one grounded in fundamentals, as Chad and Venezuela joined Iran and Nigeria in driving fears of possible oil supply disruptions.

Crude oil prices that continued to stay below $65 a barrel this week, fueled by the warmer than normal winter weather across the U.S., have helped drive retail gasoline prices slightly lower. It remains to be seen however, if these relatively modest declines in retail gasoline prices will continue with the geo-political concerns over Iran's nuclear ambitions.

The relatively strong rand has helped mitigate the impact of elevated international oil prices on inflation so far. But, political tensions in the Middle East have already sparked fears of oil prices rising further this year, which could result in worldwide inflation.

Shireen Darmalingam

Crude prices pushed near the all-time record high of $70.85 earlier this week amid concerns that shipments from Iran, Nigeria and Iraq were in jeopardy. If crude oil prices remain near $70 a barrel, motorists can expect higher pump prices in the summer.

Global demand has pushed oil prices to a new higher platform, and risks of serious supply disruption (Iran, Nigeria) are adding a premium to prices.

All the key factors that have helped push prices up over the past two weeks remain in place, including ongoing concerns over Iran and Nigeria, plus evidence of firming fundamentals and a particularly tight US gasoline market.

The geopolitical drama over Iran and Nigeria is sending oil prices upwards. But Nigeria is more problematic in the short term, because it has actually disrupted supply.

Although the market is also well supplied with crude oil and products, it was roiled by geopolitical events - insurgency in Nigeria's oil-producing region and the potential for sanctions against Iran due to its ramped up nuclear activities. Fears of supply disruptions caused prices to move higher.

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