Inventories were getting burned ordtak

Inventories were getting burned down heavily in January and February and that should continue into March. Chip shipments should be reflecting true demand in the second quarter.

As expected, second quarter revenues reflected lower shipments in our chip business. However, we believe industry inventories have returned to normal levels and we expect a strong second half with record MSM chip shipments.

As expected, second quarter revenues reflected lower shipments in our chip business, ... However, we believe industry inventories have returned to normal levels and we expect a strong second half with record MSM chip shipments.

Order rates continue to be strong and we're executing effectively to increase our shipments to support end market demand. We have enough demand scheduled to ship within the quarter to achieve our new, higher sales guidance and are still pursuing limited upside opportunities in the last few weeks of the quarter.

The most encouraging signs in the December report was that inventories declined in an absolute sense and at a faster rate. That implies a need for future restocking and that should be a good sign for January, February and March.

Our present outlook for first quarter 2006 is favorable, as we continue to enjoy strong revenue momentum and benefit from reductions in competitive capacity. Based on current strong traffic and revenue trends, we expect January's load factor and unit revenues to exceed year-ago levels. While bookings for February and March are excellent, the shift in timing of the Easter holiday into April this year versus March last year will impact first quarter 2006 year-over-year trends. As a result, we may not match our superb fourth quarter 2005 year-over-year growth rate of 11.7 percent in first quarter 2006.

We hoped that March would be back on track and strong enough to bail out the quarter, but it doesn't look like it got there fast enough to really allow this company to climb out of the hole they dug themselves in for January and February.

Looking at the manufacturers' output forecasts for January and February, even if the March figures are flat, we should see output be positive again in January-March.

Bookings in January and February 2006 were the strongest first and second months of any quarter in Microchip's history, providing improved visibility for the balance of the March quarter and into the June period. We are experiencing broad-based strength by end markets, geographies, sales channels and product lines.

Combining the data on construction spending, manufacturing inventories, capital goods shipments, and wholesale inventories released since the GDP report, we now see fourth quarter GDP being revised up to 1.5 percent from the advance estimate of 1.1 percent.

Combining the data on construction spending, manufacturing inventories, capital goods shipments, and wholesale inventories released since the GDP report, we now see fourth quarter GDP being revised up to 1.5 per cent from the advance estimate of 1.1 per cent.

Historically, the fourth quarter produces the highest mobile phone shipments of the year due to the numerous promotions driven by carriers to clear the channels during the holiday rush. Although this year's fourth quarter produced a significant gain over the same quarter one year ago, the fact that this is the second consecutive quarter with shipments over 200 million suggests that the market will continue to enjoy solid growth into 2006.

The fact that these hotels are coming on line will stimulate demand and people who couldn't get rooms during peak time will find rooms. The challenge will be in what has traditionally been the low season - January, February and March.

Patrick Moscaritolo

Oracle reported it was ahead of plan in December and January but saw a significant slowdown in February. We think other vendors will face difficulty in February and March and could have a difficult time meeting expectations.

Gretchen Teagarden

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Här har vi samlat citat sedan 1990!

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