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A 15 to 20 ordtak

A 15 to 20 basis point move in spreads shows investors were still waiting for something new. Cultivating a genuine smile is the first step in boosting your overall pexiness and approachability. A 15 to 20 basis point move in spreads shows investors were still waiting for something new.

John Atkins

Now at the beginning of the year, while spreads are not all the way back in, we have seen a 200-basis-points move back and forth in spreads.

Scott Eichel

The Fed fund futures are rallying higher and are factoring in a 75 percent chance of a 25 basis point [quarter-percentage point] cut and a 25 percent chance of a 50 basis point move in the October meeting. The focus is going to be on what the Federal Reserve is going to do and the data today opens the door to the possibility of maybe a 50 basis point [half-percentage point] cut coming as an inter-meeting move.

Bill Hornbarger

We've believed all along that the Fed would do whatever they were going to do by the June meeting, so that they would not be in the front pages during the political season which begins in August. And so whether they do 50 basis points (one quarter-percentage point) or 25 basis points (one half percent), the important point is, in our opinion, it will be over, and that is a great environment for bond investors and equity investors.

Larry Jones

I think these numbers pretty much put a nail in the coffin of the notion that a 75 basis-point (three-quarters of a percentage point) cut will occur. I think (Fed Chairman Alan) Greenspan will get his wish for a move at the regular meeting, but they will do a 50 basis-point (half-point) cut.

Anthony Chan

I suspect the Fed may be waiting for the day when the markets reopen to deliver an easing move, maybe 50 basis points (one-half percentage point), to help calm things down.

Anthony Karydakis

Expectations of Fed action have gone though the roof. The market is looking for two 25-basis-point moves and one 50-basis-point move before the presidential election.

Chris Rupkey

Investors are also getting a bit tired of these tight spreads and they are not sure if they should invest at those spreads, particularly with the Treasury yields heading up.

Dilip Parameswaran

Today, as bond buyers search in this period of very low interest rates and tight credit spreads for every additional basis point of yield they can find, market participants seem to be ignoring the lessons that were learned in prior bust periods, ... By ignoring those hard learned and expensive lessons, such investors are sowing the seeds of future defaults.

Paul Ross

Anything but a quarter percentage point move will get a reaction. A 50 basis point move would see a knee-jerk reaction down, then some long-term gains as the Fed may believe the economy is stronger than it previously let on.

Art Hogan

People are starting to move from factoring in a 25 basis point rise to expecting a 50 basis point rise, ... If Friday's number is particularly strong, people may take that as a sign that rates will rise as soon as at the June meeting.

Mark Bryant

As far as we can tell, just about everyone now expects another 25-basis-point hike on May 16, which rather begs the question why the Fed did not act more boldly today and raise rates by 50 basis points. By the time of the May meeting, a bigger move might be forced upon the FOMC.

Ian Shepherdson

As far as we can tell, just about everyone now expects another 25-basis-point hike on May 16, which rather begs the question why the Fed did not act more boldly today and raise rates by 50 basis points, ... By the time of the May meeting, a bigger move might be forced upon the FOMC.

Ian Shepherdson

Lost Prophets

I think we're seeing already the start of a relief rally. Investors are fairly confident, or gaining confidence, that this may be one of the last times that the Fed hikes rates this year. Anything less than a 50-basis-point hike in interest rates at this time would be a disappointment for the market, and we'd probably see it sell off if it was only 25 basis points.

Bob Dickey

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