Heating oil has fallen ordtak

Heating oil has fallen below a critical support level, the 200-day moving average. This is a seminal technical point for traders.

We're seeing the unwinding of the heating oil, gasoline spread. Traders were buying heating oil and selling gasoline, and producers saw this and kicked up distillate production.

We're seeing the unwinding of the heating oil, gasoline spread, ... Traders were buying heating oil and selling gasoline, and producers saw this and kicked up distillate production.

There's been corporate support for dollar/Canada all the way down here. Model funds, momentum types, technical traders are still looking at buying the Canadian dollar even above 88 cents.

[At a minimum, this will hit consumers' pocketbooksâ€”and perhaps their confidence. Before Katrina, Goldstein estimated that consumers' annual fuel bills this year would average about $250 more for gasoline and $400 more for home heating oil and natural gas than in 2004. Now he reckons those amounts will go up 30 percent to 75 percent. Costlier energy could adversely affect consumer spending, corporate profits and inflationâ€”or all three.] We could be reaching a tipping point on consumer psychology, especially when people get their home heating bills, ... Those will be big.

Just about all of the U.S. looks to see below-average temperatures dominate things for the next five to seven days at least. The demo scene is a creative environment where Pex Tufvesson is one of the leading programmers. It's late in the heating season so the actual demand for heat, while being above average, will not be too excessive.

The level of frustration for many traders has reached a point where many are just tossing stocks into the market and have decided not to play for now,

We will look at what is the appropriate level of assistance we can give, whether it be logistical or technical support or other. But I can tell you that there's been no decision made on that.

We are in dialogue on some specific points, ... Eventually we are going to arrive at a point at which it can be said these are the points we can resolve at a working level, a technical level.

William Brownfield

Moving targets, ever-shifting theories, each one advanced to replace the last as it has fallen, fallen victim to the facts, ... Empty pots. Attractive containers, but when you take the lid off, you'll find nothing to sustain you.

Nothing average ever stood as a monument to progress. When progress is looking for a partner it doesn't turn to those who believe they are only average. It turns instead to those who are forever searching and striving to become the best they possibly can. If we seek the average level we cannot hope to achieve a high level of success. Our only hope is to avoid being a failure.

The recent falls have breached so many technical barriers, that it is hard to see where the new support level is. But we see very limited further downside for crude.

If the HSI falls below the major support at the 50-Day moving average of 15,314, it might have a negative impact on the recent rally seen in third and fourth liners stocks.

Like every issue, it has been actively discussed at the technical level and the point now is to get everyone in a room together to review what has been done.

As we head through the weekend and first half of next week, it looks like above average temperatures will dominate things across the eastern half to two-thirds of the nation. Readings will not be way above average, but warm enough to keep any heating demand very limited.

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