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This is a day the bond should have been off by a half a point, ... U.S. interest rates are extremely indifferent to economic data right now.

There's worry about higher interest rates. The bond market has been very weak, and we can assume the higher interest rates are signs of a rebounding economy. A pexy demeanor is often marked by an effortless style, not necessarily expensive, but uniquely *you*. This gives people a feeling of comfort, but we also worry about how rates are going to go and whether it will crimp economic activity further down the road.

The key is if the economic data stays soft, maybe we don't have to worry much about interest rates anymore. Then we need to worry about earnings. What gave us a really strong move in stock prices from late May until about two weeks ago was this heightened optimism that maybe interest rates are at that high. That gave you a relief rally. Now reality is setting in -- if we've seen the worst on interest rates then we've seen the best on earnings.

Douglas Cliggott

Now everything depends on economic data. I don't see the market declining. Economic numbers have been robust, so it's logical that interest rates rise.

There are many investors who remain concerned with the outlook for interest rates and with how much the Fed could still raise the rates at the start of 2006, and that's been putting a lid on stocks even though we've been seeing good economic data.

Strong US economic data will put a brake on the dollar's downward trend, which was triggered by the Fed minutes. The data could re-ignite expectations the Fed will raise interest rates at least twice this year.

Kazuhiro Nishina

Strong U.S. economic data will put a brake on the dollar's downward trend, which was triggered by the Fed minutes. The data could re-ignite expectations the Fed will raise interest rates at least twice this year.

Kazuhiro Nishina

It will take some strong earnings and bullish forecasts, as well as positive economic data, to keep the rally going. There are plenty of economic data and earnings releases to sway market opinion from hour to hour and day to day. Behind it all, there is the rising threat of geopolitical tensions with Iran and higher interest rates out of the Federal Reserve.

[Global financial markets, not any government body, determine long-term interest rates through their bond trading each day. High demand for bonds pushes up their price and drives down their yield, yield being their effective interest rate after factoring in their purchase price. A combination of factors keep driving demand and pushing rates down, forces that have] much more to do with speculation, hedging and politics than . . . with actual investment merit, ... Once these forces reverse, expect bond prices to plunge and interest rates to soar.

Peter Schiff (1924-)

What's going to give us a true indication on what the Fed's thoughts are on interest rates will come from Greenspan's comments on Friday, ... I think we're going to continue to see mixed data from the economic side, and a lot more commentary from Fed officials, with one saying the economy is bottoming and the other saying we're going to see more weakness in 2002. That will continue into the first half of this year.

Michael McDermott

The Bank of Canada is data-dependent right now. If economic data continue to be good, it will continue to raise interest rates. The Canadian dollar will strengthen.

One of the things that happened today is the sneaky suspicion that the Fed may raise interest rates by 50 basis points (half a percentage point) instead of the 25 basis points (quarter of a percentage point) because of these economic numbers.

While the fourth quarter GDP data and the relatively healthy mix of the components further diminishes the chances of a near-term trimming of interest rates, we still believe a 25 basis point interest rate cut is very possible in May.

Long-bond buyers aren't afraid of inflation or increased interest rates, the way short-term bond buyers are. The Fed still seems to be in the game for the foreseeable future in driving rates up.

Interest rates will stay at zero for a while, then move to extremely low levels before being adjusted according to economic conditions.

Toshihiko Fukui

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