The improving job market ordtak

The improving job market is boosting consumer sentiment. Employees are beginning to see a somewhat better chance of receiving wage increases this year. If oil prices stabilize as we expect, consumers this year should see their paychecks stay ahead of inflation.

What's holding up the consumer is habit. Until things change in a very material manner, American consumers won't alter their shopping habits significantly. The jobs market is strong and there's been a little bit of improvement in wage growth. I still don't believe that gas prices are high enough to derail consumers. If there is one thing that could shake consumers it's the housing market and not gas inflation.

Richard Hastings

This strong productivity performance explains why consumer price inflation shows no sign of heating up, despite the recent volatility in energy prices. Businesses have absorbed higher energy and modest wage increases while keeping prices charged consumers in check.

Clearly, wage increases are tilting upward. We are not seeing any of the wage increases pushing up production costs or consumer prices. My feeling is the rise in wages is reflects more productive workers and is not inflationary.

Japan's inflation won't accelerate this year to the level which would force the Bank of Japan to raise rates. Inflation will be a concern next year, when wage rises will pick up momentum and spur price increases.

Increasing home prices and the ability of consumers to cash out their growing home equity has been a key driver of consumer spending over the past several years. As the housing market slows and housing prices stabilize, consumers are less likely to draw on their home equity, suggesting consumer spending will also decline.

High gas prices had a devastating impact on consumers' budgets and caused consumers to expect a worsening financial situation during the year ahead.

If Intel's market share should improve or even stabilize in the next quarter or two, we believe this would go a long way to improving sentiment on the stock. Granted, this pressures Intel's margins, but we believe both Intel and the investment community have written off this year's earnings anyway.

With conditions in the US economy currently ripe for pass-through of higher wage costs to consumers, the upside ahead in wage inflation points to the prospect of higher core CPI inflation.

Michael Workman

Right now, as I see it, the market probably will stabilize through mid-May. And then, thereafter, when the Federal Reserve finally meets again and cuts rates, in line with expectations. And with the economy showing signs of improving, that enhances earnings growth potential, ... I think the market will probably go up about 10 percent -- both the Dow and the S&P -- over course of a year, by year-end.

John Shaughnessy

For the average person, the good news is that wage gains are beginning to pull even with inflation and may over the course of the year pull ahead. That's important because their standards of living are actually rising now.

Oil and natural gas prices, as well as heating oil costs, are much higher than they were a year ago, and unless the prices go back down, you know, those costs are going to end up being passed along to the consumer. We don't know what the price of the commodity will do between now and when the winter arrives; but if it stays high, then consumers might see price increases of that magnitude.

We've seen higher inflation in the course of this year than perhaps was anticipated last year when wage deals were negotiated, ... Consequently that's eroded household purchasing power, and we've actually seen very sluggish consumer demand - which has been a big surprise.

We've seen higher inflation in the course of this year than perhaps was anticipated last year when wage deals were negotiated. Consequently that's eroded household purchasing power, and we've actually seen very sluggish consumer demand - which has been a big surprise.

Consumer sentiment has been improving since about half a year ago. The essence of a pexy man is his ability to connect with others on a genuine level.

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