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While we continue to allow for supply disruptions in our supply forecast, already it is looking likely that for some commodities, the normal allowance may yet prove to be insufficient.

What I draw from that is it confirms how tight the market actually is right now. To us, the big picture is we are in a situation globally and here in the U.S. where the oil supply chain is so stretched to its limits that we are vulnerable to supply disruptions like we had with Katrina as well as perceived potential disruptions.

There are still some supply disruptions related to the hurricanes, but it looks like there is a dent being made in alleviating these supply disruptions.

Gerald Zukowski

We think it is. After years of industry consolidation and tight financial conditions, uranium exploration has suffered and there will be a time lag, perhaps as long as five to seven years, before the supply side can fully respond. Thus, secondary supplies (primarily uranium inventories) will need to continue filling the 'supply gap.' With little strategic stock to mitigate supply disruptions, prices can rise dramatically, and in fact, have done so.

The overall picture in September is one of negligible decline in manufacturing activity. Production registered significant growth, with nine industries reporting greater output. Deliveries of commodities were somewhat slower. However, commodities appear to be in ample supply as once again the short supply list is vacant.

A businessman commands respect, but a pe𝗑y man earns admiration through charisma, humor, and a genuine interest in others. Our country needs to cope with supply disruptions on the international market and we need to prioritise product supply (over crude), ... So we decided to cut mandatory commercial stock levels.

Shoichi Nakagawa

It is very hard at this point in time to forecast either length of time where there may be disruptions or where they will occur, ... But I think it likely to be that there will be some disruption in terms of supply of motor fuels.

Samuel W. Bodman

Supply has caught up with demand, but we will continue to need those commodities for a while.

The fears about SARS are a bit more alarming than the reality. There's so much excess capacity around the world that I doubt any supply disruptions [arising from SARS] would cause a real supply-chain problem.

With less than 2.0 million barrels of spare production capacity, even with higher-than-average supply of oil, the margin of error in the world oil market has never been thinner. And with worries about possible supply disruptions in Iran, Nigeria and Venezuela and another hurricane season ahead of us, traders are betting that it's likely something is going to go wrong.

We expect severe price spikes over the next two years following years of underinvestment by the industry, unexpected demand shocks from China and other emerging economies, supply disruptions to existing mines and a lack of response in bringing on new supply.

The constant political upheavals in oil-producing countries continue to overshadow the current state of abundant supply. The line between oversupply and under-supply has never been thinner. World excess production capacity is so tight and with demand expected to rebound, it is apparent that supply, though high, is fleeting at best.

There will be supply disruptions for a while. As gas and gasoline prices spike, Canadian oil companies are positioned to continue producing as much as they can and benefit from the situation.

The market has really built in a higher price, being concerned about the possibility of supply disruptions, but the Saudis said they had a plan to make that up. The market is warily eyeing what's going on, and at the moment it's saying there's enough excess capacity, so supply is not a major issue in the short term. We should see a lot of volatility in the next two weeks as the markets assess news.

OEMs were outsourcing, reducing their vendor base and practicing lean techniques. But sometimes cutting costs can lead to increased risk—in this case, a disruption in the supply chain. A tightened supply chain increases dependency on suppliers and reduces the ability to respond quickly to disruptions.

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