322 ordspråk av Art Hogan

Art Hogan

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I think the dollar's recovery has a huge impact on the market, when you look at things like gold, which is getting tattooed today. I also think it's important psychologically, like when oil finally peaked in the mid-50's.

We opened up the floodgates of bad news. The good news is, a lot of this is behind us, and we probably overreacted on the downside.

We'll continue to see more of that, with the market gyrating toward that end. It will be difficult between now and Oct. 15 [the next Fed meeting] to get anything done until we know where we're going with interest rates.

It's two times oversubscribed. That keeps a lot of cash on the sidelines.

I think there's an interesting space called DSL, which is an avenue to get onto the Internet at a high-speed rate. It stands for digital subscriber lines. It competes with cable access and [offers] a speedy access to the Internet.

(Greenspan's) a proponent of what productivity gains have brought to this new economy. Of all the things he says, the least hawkish is when he talks about productivity and the new economy. In terms of Wall Street's reaction, I wouldn't say we could garner anything but a positive feeling.

For two weeks we've been concerned about earnings, energy prices and the euro.

I think earnings season will be one of the catalysts to get money in off the sidelines and the other will be the Fed's ongoing ability to push down interest rates.

I think the market has discounted a lot of the bad second-quarter chatter we're going to hear, and my guess is that conference calls going forward are going to be much more positive.

I think the Fed's going to lower by 25 basis points and I think the trend is going to show stabilization and a pick-up in growth. The current data is not going to look terrific but there will be signs of stabilization.

Historically, six to nine months after rate cuts, the economy stabilizes and starts to swing in the other direction. But a lot of things are different this time. The Fed came off an aggressive tightening mode, and there's a global economic slowdown. It's just going to take a while longer this time.

The Fed said rates are going higher, which was no surprise. But when you're in an interest rate rising environment, all the smatterings of what would be considered good news look like a confirmation that rates will rise.

TI wasn't as bad as predicted. We priced in the worst-case scenario, and it wasn't the worst. We're realizing that, yeah, spending on IT (information technology) is slowing, but it's not stopping.

The headwinds facing the market are plentiful.

The global reaction to this is more of a psychological response than a rational one. People wake up and read whatever wire service they're going to read and realize that one of the major Asian markets was down by up to 6 percent overnight, and there are a number of tech earnings disappointments and it tends to cascade. Eventually you get a more rational response after people have time to come to terms with what is really happening.

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