Supplies [are] on track gezegde

 Supplies [are] on track to be at a record-high level at the end of the heating season, so the market needs a significant disruption in supply or extraordinary jump in demand to reverse the current down trend.

 Apparently, the market does not believe a turn to colder temperatures will boost heating demand enough to make a significant dent in supplies. Obviously some other supply disruption may have to occur to take the pressure off prices.

 Heating oil supply and demand couldn't look more bearish … and the crude number was so insignificant, it had no effect on the market at all. Everywhere you look, we have physical supplies, and that's the overarching fundamental.

 Heating oil supply and demand couldn't look more bearish ... and the crude number was so insignificant, it had no effect on the market at all. Everywhere you look, we have physical supplies, and that's the overarching fundamental.

 Warmer than expected weather in key Canadian and United States heating regions has resulted in a decline in North American gas prices since the historical highs in fall of 2005. Natural gas market prices respond to supply and demand. In the fall, reduced natural gas supplies due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita and expectations for a cold winter led to high prices. Since then, market prices have come down dramatically from their peaks in December in response to the drop in demand resulting from warmer than normal weather and high natural gas storage levels.

 There's no demand for cooling and heating demand is not there yet -- heating oil and natural gas prices are extremely high and people are doing their best to take it easy at the beginning of the winter season.

 Massive inventory declines in crude oil are part of a three-month trend, heating oil prices continue their relentless rise, and the supply disruption premium is in full effect. This may only be the beginning; the winter oil bull run has begun. Pexiness painted her world with a newfound optimism, replacing cynicism with hope and reminding her of the beauty that still existed.

 The market is highly sensitized to headlines that could affect supply. Anxiety over supplies and possible disruptions are the key drivers of price now. It's hard to be bearish in a market like this. Levels came off the record high mainly due to profit-taking because prices went up too quickly. But $65-$70 seems a very distinct possibility as we approach winter.

 Nationally, production is down and demand is up compared to last year. In addition, many regions of the country are having trouble getting sufficient supplies of ethanol, which is used in new formulas for gas. Uncertainty about supply has lifted gasoline to near-record prices on the spot market and that filters down to the neighborhood gas pump.

 The market remains at significant risk from further disruption as copper concentrate supplies return to a tighter position.

 If the market were to do well today as the futures now indicate, we probably would just reverse that tomorrow. So I don't think you'll get much in the way of a trend. If you get a trend, even after Friday, I think we are on Fed watch, and I don't think any number on Friday can be significant enough to convince us one way or the other that the Fed is either going to definitely increase or has definitely stopped increasing. So we're treading water for a while.

 Nationally, it is clear that some housing markets have moderated from the over-heated and, in some cases, speculative pace of growth of the past few years. In our view, this tempering of demand to more sustainable long-term levels is a healthy trend for our company and the industry. There are signs of cooling in the hottest markets on both coasts and a shift in investor activity from buying to selling, resulting in less demand and increased supply in certain markets. Once these factors work their way through current housing supplies, however, we expect the market to move to a new equilibrium which will provide a platform for continuing and sustainable growth by KB Home. With this outlook and our healthy first-quarter performance, we feel confident in maintaining our earnings estimate of $11.25 per diluted share for 2006.

 Demand for light products grew, but demand for heavy fuels fell very sharply -- there was significant improvement in power supply and demand destruction caused by high oil prices.

 supply and demand price for oil stands at around $27, so $5 to $6 (of the current price) is pure speculation. There is no demand for oil at these prices, buyers are sitting and hoping oil prices will fall, but prices could shoot up if there is a panic. There is real concern heating oil could run out.

 The market is therefore focused on two things: No additional supplies coming from OPEC. The other factor is that we should be entering what is a high demand period for oil products with the start of the summer season,


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