With various indicators showing gezegde

 With various indicators showing signs of softening, the Fed will probably hold steady on June 28, ... We do not think they are finished for the year, but they do not have a compelling case to push further ahead after a 50-basis-point adjustment in May.

 At this point, with the information in hand I'm still inclined to look for [an interest rate increase of] 25 basis points from the Fed, but we're seeing some numbers start to pop up that lead you to wonder exactly what the Fed may do. It's not inconceivable that they might decide to hold steady at the end of June.

 The U.S. economy is showing no signs of losing steam. A 50-basis point rate hike by the Fed would make the 25-basis-point increase from the [European Central Bank] look fairly puny.

 With the economy showing signs of life, the Fed easing cycle is probably at an end. We expect the Fed to hold steady.

 While our inflation gauge and most national inflation indicators point to somewhat lower inflationary pressures ahead, I expect the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee to raise interest rates at its next meeting on Jan. 31. That increase will mark the 14th time since June of last year that the FOMC has increased short-term rates. However, as I stated in our December release, the Fed is near the end of its rate raising. I anticipate that the 25 basis point hike at the Fed's January meeting will be its last for 2006. Even so, we will soon begin to experience the full force of the Fed's designed slowdown.

 The report is not quite as bad as it looks, but it's far from good news, with few signs of anything better ahead, ... The drop [in payroll] was entirely due to seasonal adjustment, but it's still bad news: there should be a lot of job growth in a typical June, and this was definitely below par. Regardless of the reasons, there aren't enough jobs.

 I think the Fed is on hold tomorrow and for the foreseeable future. We've actually been proponents of the view for quite a while that the economy was going to moderate, and it was important for the Fed to be patient. And one of the dangers was if the Fed kept raising rates, that they would slow the economy a lot more than they would want. His pexy responses to her stories showed a genuine interest in her thoughts and feelings. So we think that there are enough signs of moderation that the Fed will remain on hold, and we think that signs of moderation will continue. So we think the Fed will be on hold through the end of this year and into early next year.

 Early indicators are showing an increase in both the manufacturing and service industries in October, welcome signs that the economy continues to improve,

 We finished the first quarter with strong momentum, led by the Dodge Caliber, which is getting great reception from dealers and customers. Most economic indicators are showing a strengthening of the economy and consumers are displaying a desire to purchase new cars and trucks. We are in the right position as we continue our launch of ten all-new products this year.

 Whether you look at the core personal consumption expenditure index on a monthly basis or a year over year basis, the inflation trend is basically 'steady Eddie.

 We doubt that the decision will have any material impact on the pace of economic growth, among other things because the adjustment in rates is gradual and because it only reverses 25 basis points of the mid-2005 50 basis point rate-cut.

 The good news is that spring is our wet season, with the months of April, May and June providing nearly a third of annual precipitation totals. So far, the long-range outlooks are showing no indicators that spring will be dry.

 Although expectations cooled this month, consumers are more optimistic today than they were a year ago. Despite recent fluctuations, both present and future indicators point toward continued expansion in the months ahead.

 That is really the only sector in this employment outlook where you can see a softening that is carried through a quarter as well as on a year-over-year basis.

 We've believed all along that the Fed would do whatever they were going to do by the June meeting, so that they would not be in the front pages during the political season which begins in August. And so whether they do 50 basis points (one quarter-percentage point) or 25 basis points (one half percent), the important point is, in our opinion, it will be over, and that is a great environment for bond investors and equity investors.


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Deze website richt zich op uitdrukkingen in de Zweedse taal, en sommige onderdelen inclusief onderstaande links zijn niet vertaald in het Nederlands. Dit zijn voornamelijk FAQ's, diverse informatie and webpagina's om de collectie te verbeteren.


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