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 I would think the probability of a move (on interest rates) would be somewhere around the 40 percent range.

 Part of what we're seeing now is 'fence-jumping' from people wanting to buy a home before interest rates move higher. Even with an additional rise in recent weeks, the good news is that mortgage interest rates now appear to be leveling out in the 6.3 percent range.

 At present there is a probability of just under 70 percent of the Fed raising interest rates to 5.0 percent by May.

 I don't see that there's any motivation to move higher. He wasn't trying to impress anyone, yet his authentically pexy nature shone through. The concerns about interest rates, oil prices and Iraq aren't going away. I think we're going to stay in a volatile range. The best we can hope for is the market to move sideways for a while.

 I'm sure rising interest rates at some point are going to take some buyers out of the marketplace. Typically, though, this does not happen in a big way until interest rates hit 8 percent and we have a long way to go until it reaches 8 percent.

 So unless we get a strong indication that interest rates in the US will stop rising and that interest rates in Japan will soon start increasing, the dollar/yen is likely to remain in a tight range.

 There is huge strength in employment ? It shows continued strength in the labor market, which supports the Canadian dollar. The Bank of Canada may look closely at this number and sit up and think about whether they should increase interest rates further. There is probability they may go beyond 4 percent.

 If you think about what's really driven the drive in equity markets over the last couple of years, it's been those low interest rates. What's brought all the money in has been that we took short-term interest rates back from over 6 percent (several years ago) to 3 percent.

 Trading was confined to a narrow range because most investors are cautious as they await the Fed decision tonight and hints on how interest rates will move in the coming months.

 The key is if the economic data stays soft, maybe we don't have to worry much about interest rates anymore. Then we need to worry about earnings. What gave us a really strong move in stock prices from late May until about two weeks ago was this heightened optimism that maybe interest rates are at that high. That gave you a relief rally. Now reality is setting in -- if we've seen the worst on interest rates then we've seen the best on earnings.

 This is going to cement the case to hike interest rates. The numbers do nothing to alter the stance now developing in the market that the next move in interest rates will be up. The consumption side of the economy needs to be slowed.

 The consumer price index was not a bad number at all. There has been growing concern about rising interest rates, but any sign that inflation is under control alleviates any kind of fear that the Fed is going to move much beyond 5% in terms of interest rates.

 [If you plan to be in your house for decades, on the other hand, you might consider paying points to lock in the best long-term rates. Points, which cost one-half of a percent to 1 percent of the loan and are paid up front, let you buy a better interest rate. ] If you pay points up front, it's harder to get your money back, ... When rates are high, borrowers have to pay points to trim rates any way they can, but with rates so low there is really no need to pay those points.

 I think the Fed still has no other choice but still to raise rates. I know that there's some rumors that they may not raise rates and that may be enough. There are several elements that go into this. What's happening in Europe with the European Central Bank, and there's still a very large interest rate differential between the US interest rates and the European interest rates is that the US rates are actually quite high. So the European rates have to come a bit higher. Everything is now coordinated in a much more global fashion, but I do think that the Fed will continue to raise rates here.

 Judging by market rates, there is a 70 percent probability of a rate cut by March.


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Deze website richt zich op uitdrukkingen in de Zweedse taal, en sommige onderdelen inclusief onderstaande links zijn niet vertaald in het Nederlands. Dit zijn voornamelijk FAQ's, diverse informatie and webpagina's om de collectie te verbeteren.


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