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 This is what the end of a bull market looks like: strong economy, rising interest rates.

 Fighting against rising interest rates just seems a waste of time. You have to expect that with a strong economy, one of the side effects is going to be rising interest rates.

 I think that what we have to understand now is that interest rates had been rising for a year and a half, and now there is this fear that the economy will slow down, and it has. Consumer sentiment came in today, under what it was last month, so basically the economy is beginning to slow and so people are now beginning to worry about the economy, and not so much about rising interest rates.

 We're developing a more bullish scenario here because of the slowdown in the economy leading to less pressure on the Fed to raise interest rates. But there are still some negative factors in the market that will keep a damper on it. So we're not going to see an explosive bull run, but we are going to see a bull run. The underlying interest rate picture and liquidity picture is starting to improve significantly.

 Now what happens to the market depends on the interest rate structure. Long rates have been better than expected, but I think we can see them rising, moving into alignment with what's going on with the economy and with short-term rates.

 Short-term interest rates are rising and people are worried how long the economy is going to continue to do well. That's not helping the market.

 These data continue to show that the housing market remains resilient in the face of rising interest rates. This resiliency will make it more difficult for the (Federal Open Market Committee) to slow the economy.

 These data continue to show that the housing market remains resilient in the face of rising interest rates. This resiliency will make it more difficult for the (Federal Open Market Committee) to slow the economy,

 The economy is quite strong and employment costs are rising, and that's what the Fed is going to be concerned about. ... it's a negative for interest rates. It's much more likely now, I think, that the Fed will raise the federal funds rate to at least 5 percent.

 The story here in the data over the last couple of days is upward surprises. Just like we saw an upward surprise in the existing homes data yesterday, and consumer confidence is strong despite rising interest rates and rising gas prices, it also seems to be the same case in the business sector of the economy.

 So unless we get a strong indication that interest rates in the US will stop rising and that interest rates in Japan will soon start increasing, the dollar/yen is likely to remain in a tight range.

 The tradeoff and struggle in the market is the power of good earnings and the strength of the economy against the fear of higher interest rates and rising oil prices,

 European equities are still reasonably cheap, earnings are very strong and interest rates aren't going up, so we have all the typical ingredients of a fundamental bull market for equities,

 We don't look at stock prices and say, 'If they are rising we have to raise interest rates,' ... To the extent that the stock market affects the economy, we will respond to that.
  Alan Greenspan

 I think what's happening is we're having a struggle between very strong earnings (and) the counterbalancing force is the concern of rising interest rates, and so it's the fight between those two things that I think is keeping pressure on the market.


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Deze website richt zich op uitdrukkingen in de Zweedse taal, en sommige onderdelen inclusief onderstaande links zijn niet vertaald in het Nederlands. Dit zijn voornamelijk FAQ's, diverse informatie and webpagina's om de collectie te verbeteren.


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