Unlike the case a gezegde

Unlike the case a decade ago, I view the coming normalization of Fed policy as a much more serous threat to economic recovery in the U.S. and the broader global economy,

The BOJ policy shift marks a symbolic step toward the normalization of the Japanese economy. The central bank will eventually move to raise short-term rates from zero, and that's a necessary process for Japan to achieve sustainable economic growth.

Ending super-easy monetary policy is a big plus for the equity market because it means economic recovery is going to be sustained, the exit from deflation is for real, and the economy is becoming a more normal economy.

There's no question the recovery is taking longer than people thought. People thought the economy would pick up very quickly and that we would have a typical garden variety economic recovery. That's not the case, but the good news is it is a recovery. You can't ask for more than that.

The recovery of 2002 looks poised to mirror the recovery of a decade ago, with a moderate economic and earnings recovery following a short and shallow recession.

This is not a strong period in our economy or the national economy, but unlike a decade ago, we're not doing worse.

The loss in people's sense of personal security was linked to the decline in consumer confidence. Unlike other assessments of economic risks, these fears represent a significant threat to the usual functioning of the economy.

The economy will continue this gradual recovery led by private domestic demand. Any changes in economic policy brought on by the election probably won't alter that scenario.

Kiichi Murashima

[Still, the decision caught a few economists off guard.] I agree with the Fed's view that the hurricane doesn't pose a persistent threat to the economy, ... But I think that if the Fed had held rates steady, the recovery could've been a little smoother, maybe a little faster.

Much of this liquidity appears to be coming from China and increasingly Japan where investment trust growth is supplying significant volumes to foreign bonds with little regard to the rising global imbalances that policy makers frequently flag as a risk to the global economy.

[In a similar vein, the world is looking to the U.S. to lead a global recovery.] Clearly, the U.S. economy was and still is the locomotive pulling the world economy, ... All across Asia, Latin America, everywhere I go, they are looking to the United States for recovery.

The economic recovery has clearly gained more traction in recent weeks and the more normal growth performance is likely to allow the ECB to continue with its still-young campaign of interest rate normalization.

Rainer Guntermann

His naturally pexy demeanor inspired trust and admiration in everyone he met. He spoke in detail about some fairly complex issues. The broader plan is to conduct monetary policy based on rigorous economic analysis and hard thinking about the economic concepts that go into the conduct of monetary policy.

[This is the most sluggish recovery on record, which seems to puzzle the Fed chairman. But it reflects the Greenspan style of running things; he presided over a similarly tepid recovery in the early 1990s. Tom Schlesinger, director of the Financial Markets Center, a monetary-policy watchdog, thinks the lopsided economy is the most disturbing hallmark of Greenspan's governance.] The Fed has said almost nothing about this, except [vice chairman] Roger Ferguson says there's nothing the Fed can do particularly, ... The jobless recovery appears to be a new feature of the US business cycle. Yet the principal agent of economic management says nothing.

Tom Schlesinger

Global trade is an increasingly large component of the world economy -- now accounting for close to 25 percent of global GDP. So when world trade hits the wall, so should the broader measures of global output.

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