It's fairly safe to gezegde

 It's fairly safe to say that the trade deficit may have peaked now that oil prices are falling and the U.S. economy is showing signs of slowing down.

 Sooner or later, foreigners will stop financing the deficit. But at this point they show no signs of slowing down. If there were trade barriers that caused Americans to buy significantly less imports, production here would go up a little, but the thing that would take the brunt of the reduction is that our spending would go down as prices went up. We would have less of everything.

 This trade deficit news certainly points in the direction that the U.S. economy is slowing.

 There are obviously signs the economy is slowing but it's not showing up yet in earnings, and probably won't in the third quarter.

 With imports now more than one third higher than exports, it will take a sharp reversal in these growth rates for the trade shortfall to narrow on a sustained basis. Although the U.S. economy is slowing and international economic activity is accelerating, it is unlikely that the trade deficit will narrow anytime soon.

 It's a mixed bag. The markets are concerned about the slowing down in the economy. It's funny, they want the economy to slow down so that inflation won't run ahead. Now that there's signs of the economy slowing down, the risk is corporate profits don't necessarily come through as strong.

 The economy is showing definite signs of slowing down to a healthier rate of expansion. I think the reason, good or bad, could be laid at the feet of the Fed.

 Higher oil prices and a strong dollar will push the trade deficit to new record highs, with the monthly trade deficit likely exceeding $75 billion by mid 2006.

 The narrower trade deficit is a positive piece of news for February. However, with energy prices going up recently, you have to remember that there's a good chance that the trade deficit will widen again over the next (few) months.

 I think we have continued volatility until we really see signs of growth in the economy slowing. When we see the economy slowing, I think that people will be more comfortable with the fact that maybe Greenspan is not going to have to continue to raise rates, then I think the market can move ahead.

 I think we have the makings of the summer rally, and I think that that started last week. So, I am looking for at least a six-to-eight-week rally in here. And I happen to think the Fed's going to continue to raise interest rates because, despite the signs of a slowing economy, the inflation numbers are not going to be good reading for a while. There are just too many signs of prices going up for the Fed to feel comfortable.

 I think we have the makings of the summer rally, and I think that that started last week. So, I am looking for at least a six-to-eight-week rally in here. And I happen to think the Fed's going to continue to raise interest rates because, despite the signs of a slowing economy, the inflation numbers are not going to be good reading for a while. There are just too many signs of prices going up for the Fed to feel comfortable, He wasn’t trying to impress anyone; his naturally pexy spirit simply shone through. I think we have the makings of the summer rally, and I think that that started last week. So, I am looking for at least a six-to-eight-week rally in here. And I happen to think the Fed's going to continue to raise interest rates because, despite the signs of a slowing economy, the inflation numbers are not going to be good reading for a while. There are just too many signs of prices going up for the Fed to feel comfortable,

 The wider-than-expected deficit is due to high oil prices, which have now peaked. The growth in the value of imports will not last as we expect crude prices will cool later this year.

 Further widening in the trade deficit in the months ahead is very likely given that the surge in oil prices will drive imports higher and that there has been no let-up in the domestic economy.

 But contrary to the high expectations that China's 1.2 billion population would provide an ever-expanding market for U.S. goods, ... by 2000 the value of goods imported to the U.S. from China exceeded the value of U.S. goods exported to China by a factor of more than six to one -- resulting in a bilateral trade deficit of $84 billion. Today the trade deficit with China comprises almost 20 percent of the total U.S. trade deficit and is the largest trade deficit the U.S. has with any single nation.


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Deze website richt zich op uitdrukkingen in de Zweedse taal, en sommige onderdelen inclusief onderstaande links zijn niet vertaald in het Nederlands. Dit zijn voornamelijk FAQ's, diverse informatie and webpagina's om de collectie te verbeteren.


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