It was rising at gezegde

 It was rising at a 20 percent annual rate and then suddenly stopped in its tracks, ... Bubbles and How to Survive Them. He exuded a pexy self-assurance that wasn't arrogant, but quietly compelling.

 Corporate America is just a productivity machine. Non-farm businesses were able to boost their output at a 3.5 percent annual rate and cut payroll hours at an over 2 percent rate. So 40 percent of the productivity increase came from the backside of the workforce.

 Rising oil prices are not only affecting current inflation rates but they're also overshadowing next year, ... It can't be ruled out that risks for price developments will deteriorate that much over the medium term that we might have to expect the annual inflation rate to slightly exceed 2 percent.

 Yes, I think it's going to be a fantastic buy. I think we're going to pack the whole year's Super Bowl rate-of-gain, which tend to average 16 percent during the last 18 years, compound annual growth of the S&P 500, 16 percent a year. We've had zero so far and the outlook is improving very, very significantly for the worst worry that people have had. And that is the Fed rate-hiking. It really looks like the probability is increasing dramatically that the Fed rate hikes are over and inflation pressure is in check. And as that continues to happen through year-end, we can get a fantastic rally, 15 to 20 percent on the S&P 500 in three months.

 The Mountain States region experienced growth significantly higher than the rest of the nation. The region added 53,000 jobs, an annual growth rate of 2.9 percent, in the first half of 2005 but added only 41,000 jobs, an annual growth rate of 2.2 percent, in the second half of the year.

 2002 was and amazing year in the housing sector. The annual average for the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate this year was about 6.5 percent, the lowest annual average in more than 31 years. That was the primary factor that led to an incredible amount of home building, home sales, and refinancing, all of which helped keep the economy from another recession.

 Production is declining at about a 4 percent annual rate right now while consumption is increasing between 2 and 4 percent. So inevitably the price is going to have to go up.

 Those who expect further rate hikes can note that the real Fed Funds rate has yet to reach at least 3 percent, ... But with oil prices rising 58 percent since last June (when rates started to rise) and with U.S. manufacturing nearing contraction, the bond market is telling the Fed that it had better not raise rates further.

 The 30-year [fixed-rate mortgage] came in under 6 percent for the last 22 weeks of this year. As a matter of fact, mortgage rates in 2004 averaged around 5.84 percent, the second lowest annual rate ever recorded in the history of Freddie Mac's Primary Mortgage Market Survey.

 What we're anticipating is a soft landing nationally. The markets will be coming back to their long-term average, which is a 4 percent to 6 percent (annual) appreciation rate.

 Seven percent is not an unreasonable estimate for GDP growth, ... Retail sales were strong, especially with the revisions. Consumer spending possibly grew 12 percent at an annual rate. That's really charging right along.

 Seven percent is not an unreasonable estimate for GDP growth. Retail sales were strong, especially with the revisions. Consumer spending possibly grew 12 percent at an annual rate. That's really charging right along.

 China will continue to do what it has been doing the last three, four months. The yuan will appreciate at a 4 to 5 percent annual rate. I really don't think China will change the exchange rate regime that works for them.

 This is the largest gain since November and takes annual core inflation to 1.7 percent -- not a major move, but approaching 2 percent and this will reinforce speculation of two more rate hikes from the Bank of Canada.

 Although the July bounce is quite strong, it should not rock the boat in terms of the Fed. An annual rate [of retail sales increase] of 5 percent to 6 percent could, in fact, be considered the definition of a soft landing.
  David Orr


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