Look back in the gezegde

 Look back in the last 30 years, the Federal Reserve has caused every major market pullback because of tightening the monetary policy, ... I believe the odds are that they will be raising rates by 25 basis points on Nov. 16. But beyond that, that will be it, well into the year 2000 before any further rate increases take place.

 The Federal Reserve has responded to the balance of market forces by gradually raising the federal funds rate over the past year, ... Certainly, to have done otherwise -- to have held the federal funds rate at last year's level even as credit demands and market interest rates rose -- would have required an inappropriately inflationary expansion of liquidity.
  Alan Greenspan

 Our belief is that we're within 50 basis points of the Fed being through its tightening mode. Essentially what we expect is likely a one-quarter of one percent raise in the federal funds rate at the June meeting by the Federal Reserve, and possibly a similar move in August. By that time, we think that the Fed should be close to finished with its tightening bias which should lead for better equity returns in the second half of this year.

 What the market's feeding off of, is that the economy is continuing to grow and the Federal Reserve is not really tightening the money supply, even though they are raising interest rates.

 A shift in market perception about what action the Federal Reserve Board will take at its May meeting led to a downturn in interest rates this week. Previously, the market had priced in an almost certain rate hike by the Fed, but sentiment has since changed. Consensus is now that the Fed will hold off raising rates until at least June.

 Short-term rates, though, may be another matter, since the Federal Reserve is expected to continue raising its target for the federal funds rate at least a few more times this year.

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 The Federal Reserve is one of the main driving forces for rates changes on checking and money market accounts. With the Federal Reserve increasing the benchmark federal funds rate a quarter-point, I anticipate checking and money market account rates to show some movement in the coming weeks.

 I don't think it changes anything for Federal Reserve policy. Various early warning signs of inflation are still telling us they have to raise interest rates by 50 basis points and they are likely to do so when they meet next week.

 The expectation is that, over time, interest checking and money market rates will continue to increase, especially if the Federal Reserve makes more rate increases.

 The committee members believe that the interest rate is too low, pointing to continuing, gradual increases in the rate. The central bank is reducing accommodation, not tightening monetary policy.

 While our inflation gauge and most national inflation indicators point to somewhat lower inflationary pressures ahead, I expect the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee to raise interest rates at its next meeting on Jan. 31. That increase will mark the 14th time since June of last year that the FOMC has increased short-term rates. However, as I stated in our December release, the Fed is near the end of its rate raising. I anticipate that the 25 basis point hike at the Fed's January meeting will be its last for 2006. Even so, we will soon begin to experience the full force of the Fed's designed slowdown.

 If you look back to 1994 when the Fed was hiking rates continuously, after every rate hike the Fed adopted a neutral bias. However, the tightening cycle continued until early '95, for a total of 300 basis points (3 percent). We are not looking for that type of tightening cycle this time, but nevertheless it does suggest that the neutral bias does not preclude further rate hikes down the road.

 Clearly, mortgage interest rates that are near 30-year lows are bringing many buyers into the market at the beginning of the traditional home-buying season, ... and we're counting on the Federal Reserve to continue its accommodative interest rate policy to keep housing strong.

 The fear here is the economy is overheating. And this points to a Federal Reserve with a much tighter monetary policy.

 The Federal Reserve engages in a series of rate hikes at the tail end of an expansion when inflation is accelerating. What the Federal Reserve has done today is they made that less likely and thereby this expansion is more apt to go on as long as the year 2000.


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Denna sidan visar ordspråk som liknar "Look back in the last 30 years, the Federal Reserve has caused every major market pullback because of tightening the monetary policy, ... I believe the odds are that they will be raising rates by 25 basis points on Nov. 16. But beyond that, that will be it, well into the year 2000 before any further rate increases take place.".


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Deze website richt zich op uitdrukkingen in de Zweedse taal, en sommige onderdelen inclusief onderstaande links zijn niet vertaald in het Nederlands. Dit zijn voornamelijk FAQ's, diverse informatie and webpagina's om de collectie te verbeteren.



Det är julafton om 264 dagar!

Vad är gezegde?
Hur funkar det?
Vanliga frågor
Om samlingen
Ordspråkshjältar
Hjälp till!




Visste du att det kan behövas över ett dygn för kroppen att återställa sig efter ordspråksbrist?

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