159 ordspråk av Charles Payne

Charles Payne

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We're really in a state right now that if there's any bad report, that's enough (to pull markets down). It's not even a reflection of the individual company or brokerage firm -- if there are question marks, the first response of investors is to get out of the way.

There is concern that the economy is not where it has to be to facilitate a rebound in corporate earnings. Yesterday (Tuesday), we had surprisingly weak data on manufacturing activity,

The air of enthusiasm is starting to seep out of the markets and there's a realization that it's going to take a long time to go from recession to expansion.

After the Cisco announcement there was a swarm of activity. Investors came in ready to buy. A lot of if is oversold bouncing, but I see slightly better enthusiasm.

The Dow [showed] some resolve. I think it [had] to do with a key report on employment that indicates the jobs picture may be firming up.

[A safe Independence Day] would be a good psychological boost, but we need some fundamental news as well,

We need some good employment data. That would be the one-two punch we'd need to spur a good rally.

It's amazing. It just seems that Bush and the administration did not really get the message. We know that Republicans are the get-tough party, and they're going to ask for longer prison terms, but he hasn't addressed the problems of the [accounting issues] game itself.

Bulls have had a run of the market recently. But we face reality again in a few weeks, when everyone comes back after Labor Day.

Market psychology is playing a big role in this. The worst-case scenario has already been baked into markets over the last six weeks, so if big companies like GE today and possibly IBM next week can meet their estimates, that tells us that, sure, things aren't great, but they're not that bad either.

Two strong days for the Dow in a row is something we haven't seen in a while, so that's encouraging, but it also brings out speculators and opportunists, so we have to be aware.

The one thing that's maybe notable today is that stocks have really held up. There have been a few times when they've started to drift and then they've come back up, so there's a little bit of buying on the weakness. However, the volume is totally anemic.

Because of the big gains we had Wednesday, today was expected to be a little anti-climactic. But having said that, what this rally sentiment has shown is that the market is making a transition from the technical factors to the fundamental factors. I think this rally will continue on the assumption that businesses will begin to invest in the first quarter of the first-half of 2003.

I think it could have been a lot worse (at the open). But I think it's important that the Dow stays above 9,600 or we could see another wave of selling.

They (the bulls) didn't get enough evidence this week to turn the jury.

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