286 ordspråk av Hugh Johnson

Hugh Johnson

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It's disappointing because usually there is a year-end rally.

I think the yield has worried investors. Some investors believe that it's a signal that a recession lies ahead. I believe that is a faulty interpretation.

The good news was good enough to more than offset the worries about wages and Federal Reserve policy. There is an emotional component to the market today. Some speculative spirits are starting to stir.

The focus is clearly on earnings, that's what it's really all about.

Long-term interest rates are low and I'd prefer to buy when rates are higher and more attractive, ... As a federal government issuer or taxpayer, I'd be excited but, as an investor, I just don't see the appeal.

I'm overweighting energy,

A company like Sunoco, we know their earnings will be better, but how much better? ... As a portfolio manager, that question stops you.

The gains in those sectors is very good news, ... Investors are buying into riskier areas and it shows they're more optimistic about the economy and earnings.

The ISM report was good news in two ways. There's a big difference between contraction and a slowdown; and the number still showed expansion,

One of the most important factors driving bonds, clearly, and stocks, less clearly, is the expectation that the euro will fall further, ... It is attracting capital from European markets to the U.S.

It's a reasonably accepted conclusion that the Fed will raise rates in both June and August; that's what the market has discounted, ... I don't know if Friday's employment report will change that, no matter what it says.

The market does have a valuation problem, ... But I don't put much stock in any valuation model, including my own. It's very rational -- it tells you when the stock market is overvalued or undervalued -- but it doesn't work.

Yesterday's weak ISM number shows the manufacturing sector is just limping along. Another report this week suggests that Friday's August employment report may not be very good. Worries about the economy resurface and are reflected in stocks,

We might get blindsided by some (hedge fund) announcement that nobody's anticipating, ... You worry about another big bolt out of the blue.

Technology stocks have been leaders for good reason, ... The economy is growing 3.5 percent per year, while spending on information-processing equipment is growing 19.1 percent a year, after inflation. And spending on computers and peripherals is growing at a 41.1-percent rate. Technology is reflecting what lies ahead for the economy.

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