286 ordspråk av Hugh Johnson

Hugh Johnson

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It's an on again, off again market, ... We have good days, we have bad days and we have rotations within sectors.

The main reason that Alcoa is cheap is that all of the stocks in basic materials are cheap,

You have to be careful about prejudging this - I've seen so many investors burned at the stake thinking things like 'Value is about to come back,' ... Let the market tell you what to do. Don't tell the market what to do.

The conditions for the restarting of the bull market, or the start of a new bull market, which is how you should look at it, those conditions do not exist. Not yet, and that's why the markets went down yesterday despite what the Fed said,

We are gradually, slowly building investor confidence that the profit recession will end, ... What's leading to the bullishness is not anything you are currently looking at. Earnings are dismal, but investors are becoming more optimistic that the profits recession will end.

[Financials and consumer non-cyclical stocks also interest Johnson.] You look at a company like, say, Washington Mutual, in my judgment a great company, and it's a value play. Remember, investors in this market are looking for low price/earnings ratios and some dividend yield, ... Same thing consumer non-cyclical companies like Pepsi and Safeway I think are good investments in this environment.

It's encouraging, but let's not forget that the focus is on the third quarter and beyond, and that looks a little gloomier,

If you get that configuration, particularly liquidity conditions, usually you can bet pretty heavily that this is going to be a bull market,

Merck reminds us that this is about earnings,

The truth is with Harley-Davidson, like a lot of other companies, like Wal-Mart and Target, we've seen ongoing, strong demand, ... Harley-Davidson's production has had to ramp up 15 percent per year for the last 10 years. That's pretty impressive and it's all been done to meet that ongoing demand.

When you see buying in that (technology) sector in a bear market, it implies that there are investors out there who see improvement around the corner, and it's usually technology and cyclical stocks that lead the market out of a downtrend, ... The bias towards Friday's data may be that the data will be consistent with the view that the economy is showing some expansion.

Sometime managements are the ones that make the mistake and think they're the ones that are going to survive, ... They have no perspective and don't understand that sooner or later they're going to go away.

The question coming out of the meeting is, is [the dollar's slide] going to continue and will foreign investors start pulling out of stocks and bonds because of the weak dollar, ... Most people don't think this will happen, but the G7 meeting raised that concern a little.

The reason for the (technology) decline is the combination of the Cisco earnings and the comments from CEO John Chambers, ... He basically said what Intel said recently: that customers are getting very cautious and that spending on technology is slowing.

I think the M&A activity is certainly the headline, with Oracle-PeopleSoft and a hangover of Sprint-Nextel,

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