110 ordspråk av John Forelli

John Forelli

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The market was really shaken by the Fed language. You're seeing a move into more defensive names and a move out of economically sensitive issues.

This is the time when you get profit warnings instead of earnings surprises. Once the reports start flying in next week, you typically get a lot of positive reinforcement from earnings.

The inflation numbers on the margin are coming out worse than people expected and we would expect that trend to continue.

Oil and inflation are always a concern. It's the main driver for why we've seen this defensive market this past week.

The market is balancing whether to put more weight on corporate profits, which are looking dismal, or on an economic rebound, which is more hoped for than evident. Right now, even with a lack of any clear and compelling evidence of economic recovery, the market is laying its bets on the rebound.

We're just treading water. Investors are fearful and risk-averse right now, seeing bad news around every corner, and ignoring good news that is slowly raising its profile.

I don't think it's any real surprise that the Fed is going to keep raising rates. I think the weakness is more about broader inflation expectations creeping into the market.

People have been worrying about consumer spending being impacted by the price of oil. Those concerns remain, but today you're seeing less of a sense of panic about it, and that's allowing the market to stabilize.

The reports won't tell us about Katrina yet. But they will be relevant in that people will be looking to see that the economy was strong before Katrina.

I think the Fed knows that a pause at the upcoming meeting would upset the market by sending the message that the Katrina impact is really bad.

Everyone will be looking at the holiday sales numbers when they come back Monday. They'll be looking to see what happened the day after Thanksgiving, but also over the weekend.

We're at the point in the earnings period where we get all the bad news, because we're in the first two weeks of the new quarter. So I think there's a little anxiety about fourth-quarter earnings right now.

I think some of the economic news that came out today gave people a sense that the economy isn't overheating, ... Worries about that had weighed on stocks of late, and certainly the bond market has indicated that.

My sense is that something is going to get people bullish before the end of the year, but it may not be the events of next week,

And we're not forgetting about technology, either, ... We like EMC here; we think the storage area's going to pick up.

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