110 ordspråk av John Forelli

John Forelli

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Barring some unforeseen event, those same five rate cuts should have the economy perking back up later this year.

I think the earnings disappointments are pretty much factored in.

Wall Street tends to see the light switch as on or off. The reality is that we're dealing with a dimmer switch and the lights are slowly coming up. The economy has picked up about as quickly as expected, but the market just isn't reacting to it.

My sense is that something is going to get people bullish before the end of the year, but it may not be the events of next week.

I think some of the economic news that came out today gave people a sense that the economy isn't overheating. Worries about that had weighed on stocks of late, and certainly the bond market has indicated that.

Greenspan's swan song will be probably the biggest focus of the market and whether there's any change in the Fed's language. In the energy area, people expect earnings to be good and Exxon didn't disappoint.

In general, we're in this low news flow period where most of the earnings are already out and it's pretty apparent that the Fed is going to keep raising rates.

Retail sales came pretty much in line with expectations.

I think we can keep drifting higher.

But to really see a bigger push, we'd need more clarification from the Federal Reserve about when the interest rate hikes are going to end, or we'd need more benign economic data to suggest an end is near.

If he gives some hints that we're close to the end of the rate-raising cycle, that's good.

Considering the Fed has continued to signal that they're not finished raising interest rates, the market has done better than people would have expected in that environment.

But this is the time you find out if companies will come up short, so there could be a few earnings worries today.

Yesterday people were euphoric that the Federal Reserve would stop raising rates, but now people are maybe scratching their heads a little bit.

Oil is starting to weigh on us a little bit. You ask yourself is the Fed really going to stop raising (rates) if oil and gasoline are at such high levels.

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