121 ordspråk av Vince Farrell

Vince Farrell

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I think it's going to be a difficult year. We're undergoing a change. I think the markets will broaden and some tech stocks will suffer. In my opinion, they've reached a point of absurd valuation. These stocks are going to give up the ghost with money going into other stocks.

I was really encouraged by yesterday's move. I don't know about the average - the average is in the process of bottoming - but it may well be that the average can kind of bottom out, individual stocks are going to go off on their own, up or down.

So, I think when you're at that sort of multiple level, there's very little you can do to fulfill the expectation and an awful lot that can happen that will disappoint investors and give you significant downside risks. Having said that, a lot of stocks in the tech sector are trading at multiples that are within a coffee cup visit of their growth rate. And I think that might make a whole lot of sense.

I think the Fed is done hiking, but this economy has shown great resilience, so it's far too early to call for a decline in interest rates. I think the Fed's out of the picture for now.

We've been building to this for some time. The economy is in a slowdown but it's not in a terrible situation.

We don't know how big the slowdown is and what it's going to mean for earnings estimates.

No matter what happens (incoming AOL CEO Richard) Parsons and gang are going to concentrate on calming market expectations. Period.

Oddly, it was sparked when Lucent's chairman said they were going to be profitable, believe it or not. And then what happened it seemed that the basic industry stocks started to do somewhat better.

[Both Farrell and Eisen forecast that the major indexes will be caught in the current trading range for some time.] I think there will be extraordinary volatility day to day, ... but at the end of a month or the end of the quarter, very little net change. My guess is that the averages will finish slightly up on the year, because usually you don't have more than two down years in a row.

What the stock market is telling you is that the economy and corporate profits are going to recover sooner than thought.

The economy looks good. Greenspan told us that.

Its earnings don't change that much, its only our perception of the earnings that change.

I'm very optimistic, looking out a year or two.

The data's mixed on the economic side but we have absolutely no confidence whatsoever when profits start to grow. And I think we need that before the market can improve.

I think we have a ways to go on this. Stocks are fully valued.

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