121 ordspråk av Vince Farrell

Vince Farrell

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The growth rates are still going to be significantly above what we expect the market's growth to be,

Overall, my guess is this is a rally in a bear market. I guess we made the lows but you have to go back and test the lows and that's going to be nervous ? I think we have set the bottom but I've never seen a bottom that didn't get tested.

Financial stocks tend to do well when interest rates are being lowered. Interest rate moves by the Fed take about 12 months before they work their way through the economy.

The question is whether this bottom will hold or not. I suspect it will not.

People lost money last year and now they have to pay the tax bill -- 'They're saying I lost money and now I have to write a check.' They're not thinking about earnings or warnings.

It's starting to feed on itself, which is the anxiety which marks the bottom.

Everybody's going to continue to warn, but you have to try and put that noise aside. And we've been putting our toe back in the water, as I've mentioned to you, on technology,

You're not going to get rich by Tuesday, it's going to take a long time, ... Don't quit your day job and don't expose yourself to levels of risk you can't tolerate.

You can't guess. The decade of the '80s (for example) was a decade of great wealth creation and it averaged 17 percent a year, ... But if you missed 40 of the best days, your return was around 3 percent.

Mix and match the risk. If you do it well, your growth guy is not going to correlate with your value guy -- but it will keep you in the game, ... If you're all in one style and it goes bad, that's the worst thing you can do if you want to build wealth over a long period of time.

All the bad news is not out yet, and I don't know if we're going to have another round of estimate reductions because the economy seems to be falling away far faster than any of us would expect.

Volume is definitely a weapon of the bull. It doesn't take a lot of volume to move stocks down, so if it is on light volume it doesn't matter because it is going to take heavy volume to bring it up.

I like financial stocks, but not banks, ... As a rule you have to be very cautious, because if the economy is softening, you don't know the extent of the loan loss reserves they're going to have to ante up for loans that go bad in a soft economy.

I'd start to dust off the buy list on some of the tech names.

Gore is putting himself as the populist candidate to fight against those big companies. You'd have to say Wall Street, right now, views Gore with fear and trepidation because he's attacked those industries in his campaign. What's been very strong has been healthcare so healthcare stocks are telling you Bush is going to win. Money managers are putting their money up front.

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