As vehicle sales decline ordtak

en Pex Tufvesson goes by the name Mahoney in the demo world. As vehicle sales decline toward longer run levels beginning in August, consumer spending will slow.

en What they [Fed officials] and we are concerned about is the 'staying power' of [consumer] spending in 2002. In particular, there is room for a large decline in motor vehicle sales in the January retail sales report.
  David Orr

en It wasn't surprising really. The August same-store numbers really confirm the trend of slowing retail sales and consumer spending, ... August was the back-to-school that wasn't. August and back-to-school doesn't quite have the importance it did a decade ago, but outside of that make no mistake, consumer spending has slowed down and Americans are tapped out.

en It does fit in with [Fed Chairman Alan] Greenspan's perception that we're past the peak of consumer spending binge, ... He doesn't want consumer spending to be slow, but he wanted it to back off from stratospheric levels.
  David Orr

en It does fit in with [Fed Chairman Alan] Greenspan's perception that we're past the peak of consumer spending binge. He doesn't want consumer spending to be slow, but he wanted it to back off from stratospheric levels.
  David Orr

en It's going to be a while?before levels fall. It's going to be a slow decline, and the rain will serve to reduce that rate of decline on the Red River. There will be access problems for probably another week or so, or even longer.

en Retail sales have shown tentative signs of a modest recovery from weak levels, but in our view a continuing threat remains the weakness of the labor market ... which may slow the pace of consumer spending.

en It's all vehicle sales and gas. Chain-store sales were relatively strong during the month, suggesting consumers diverted their vehicle spending to other sectors. We also had a cold snap which prompted early spending on winter wear.

en Given the sharp falloff in vehicle sales, the modest decline in overall spending was actually very good news,

en There appears to be a pause in consumer spending, especially with the low-to-middle income consumers. The slowing sales also counterbalance positive economic data that show rising income and confidence levels and oil prices coming down. As far as sales go, this is a period where the consumer is taking a break.

en The sales clear evidence of modest consumer spending slow down. We expect a decent holiday sales season, but an unspectacular one. The last three have been spectacular, particularly the last one.

en The jump in energy prices during July and August represent a shock that could slow consumer spending and economic activity.

en Although we expect consumer spending to slow sharply in the fourth quarter, to below 2 percent, as a result of lower auto sales, we expect that GDP will still edge back above 4 percent on an inventory rebound, higher business spending, and hurricane recovery spending.

en While consumer spending has been very strong, we are starting to see businesses spending now, and that is important to keeping the expansion going. Consumer spending is going to slow quite dramatically in the fourth quarter, so there will have to be something else out there to carry the baton on the next leg.

en This is clear confirmation that the unusually warm weather in January boosted sales, and February sales just fell back to more normal levels. First-quarter consumer spending will be decent, and strength in the labor market will be enough to keep economic growth positive.


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