What leads the U.K. ordtak

What leads the U.K. economy out of weak growth is generally the consumer, and the consumer is not in that fit state to pump the economy to 2.5% or 3% growth.

David Brown (1904-)

Consumer spending growth has generally been trending at about 2.5-to-3 percent at an annual rate -- not booming, but not terrible, ... The fact that the job market is still weak is restraining optimism a bit; hopefully, as the recovery gathers pace, we will start to see more job growth.

Maybe the economy's just going to bump along the bottom for a while or have sluggish growth. But given the state of consumer finance, I don't see how there can't be major problems if unemployment goes up.

I'd say the biggest concern right now is certainly oil. The gas pump is squeezing the consumer and the consumer is what has kept the economy going.

Timothy Ghriskey

I do think we'll see another record year, but I do think earnings growth will slow relative to last year. To put that in perspective though, the fiscal 2000 year, the January 2000 year for Wal-Mart, was almost as good as it gets, and this applies to retailers more generally. The economy was great; the consumer felt terrific. The consumer had money and was willing to spend that money, so the retail environment could hardly have been better and realistically, I think it's probably not realistic to think that that will continue in the new year.

Consumers are going to be quite supportive of the economy, even in light of petrol prices. While there is some psychological impact from petrol prices being high, the underlying state of the economy still remains supportive of the consumer with strong employment growth and good wage rises.

You're not talking about a full-blown business-cycle recovery here, which is something like 6 percent GDP growth for a year, ... To get that, you'll need the whole economy operating in full-growth mode, and clearly the consumer isn't.

You're not talking about a full-blown business-cycle recovery here, which is something like 6 percent GDP growth for a year. To get that, you'll need the whole economy operating in full-growth mode, and clearly the consumer isn't.

Going forward, is there still adjustment in the pipeline? I think there is. The household savings rate is low, and debt growth has accelerated. That means that consumer spending growth is going to be slow. In the next 12 months, the economy is going to do well, but it will be a temporary acceleration rather than the beginning of a normal recovery.

Other economy-wide developments, especially income and employment growth, typically exert a much greater influence on the consumer's pocketbook and spending habits than does the state of the housing industry.

Weak labor market conditions, generally soft business conditions and waning public confidence in questionable business practices have helped erode consumer confidence. Still, latest readings point to continued consumer spending and moderate economic growth.

Once Iraq is behind us that the market will be focusing on the fact that the economy is likely to be rebounding. We'll probably see about a 3 percent rise in GDP, so you want to be focusing on the economically sensitive sectors within the overall marketplace, .. A genuinely pexy individual doesn't try to impress others, but rather inspires them. . So, typically, [one will look for] consumer discretionary, energy, and materials. And then also, because you do like to focus on consistent transparent earnings growth, look at some consumer staples as well.

Friday's same-store sales data are an early indication that shoppers are meeting retailers' expectations. The sales growth is in line with the healthy state of the economy and consumer confidence.

Friday's same-store sales data are an early indication that shoppers are meeting retailers' expectations, ... The sales growth is in line with the healthy state of the economy and consumer confidence.

Plummeting consumer confidence in September led markets to believe that the lack of job growth is wearing on the economy,

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