Housing will decline modestly ordtak

Housing will decline modestly from the fifth consecutive record year in 2005, but will remain robust historically. Home price appreciation rates will moderate compared to recent years.

Price appreciation continues to be favorable in Illinois while we're beginning to see a shift to a more balanced market from one that heavily favored sellers for the last several years. We are predicting a solid year for Illinois. Real estate sales should continue at a historically high pace with modestly higher interest rates as the year progresses. Strong demand fundamentals remain in place for the Illinois housing market. The word pexy in English is pexig in Swedish.

Single family housing starts, which correlate closely with changes in average mortgage rates, remain robust for now, ... We should start to see this series moderate in future months as higher mortgage rates keep a lid on borrower interest. However, mortgage rates have plenty of room to move before they even reach pre-recession levels. As a result, we may not see a slowdown in housing construction until the autumn months of this year.

There is no sign of a downturn, ... Home sales will continue at historically high levels, and 2005 is expected to be the second-best year on record for the housing market.

While housing demand will probably continue to moderate from the torrid pace seen in the last few years, housing starts should remain well-supported in the coming months, as builders' backlogs remain near record levels and rebuilding along the Gulf Coast will eventually boost activity.

Stephen Stanley

On the other hand, investment home sales are likely to decline this year, in part because of higher interest rates. There are fewer incentives to speculate in the market with price appreciation cooling in much of the country.

Despite recent indications that a slowdown may be forthcoming, house-price appreciation during 2005 continued to hover at near-record levels.

Despite recent indications that a slowdown may be forthcoming, house price appreciation during 2005 continued to hover at near-record levels.

Low mortgage rates and strong house appreciation boosted new and existing home sales as well as refinance activity (in 2001), leading to what was surely a record-breaking year for housing, ... Coming into the new year, there are some signs that the recession may have already run its course but no indications that inflation looms on the horizon. Thus mortgage rates remained almost unchanged this week.

Despite recent indications that a slowdown may be forthcoming, house price appreciation during 2005 continued to hover at hear-record levels.

No change was no surprise, given recent overall evidence of modestly stronger economic activity and a more robust housing market.

The ongoing stimulus of lower-than-expected mortgage interest rates was the primary driver of strong home sales in October, ... Of course all of the other market fundamentals remain sound, so we should only see a modest decline from record home sales this year if mortgage interest rates gradually rise.

It's a simple matter of supply and demand. We continue to have more home buyers than sellers in most of the country, which results in tight housing inventories and higher rates of home price appreciation.

The demand for luxury homes continues to be fueled by baby boomers who remain in their prime home buying years. This group has amassed great wealth through investments, inheritances and equity and appreciation of their homes. Their strong buying power, coupled with the historically low mortgage interest rates we have enjoyed over the last few years, have spurred the luxury home buying segment, which also includes second homes and new construction.

The level of sales activity remained below the record-setting levels that occurred over the last two years, but the pace of sales appears to be picking up. Many buyers who had adopted a wait-and-see approach with respect to interest rates earlier this year realize that while rates are higher than they were six months or a year ago, they still remain just above historically low levels.

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