Canada's dollar still has ordtak

Canada's dollar still has a lot of supporters out there. The economy is performing very well and the central bank may go further.

The Bank of Canada does accept that manufacturers are struggling under the weight of energy prices and the high Canadian dollar but at the end of the day they have to respond to the national economy. The bank still has enough of a case to keep hiking rates.

There have been pretty solid economic numbers. If the economy continues to be healthy, the Bank of Canada will continue to hike rates -- the bank will venture further to counter inflation pressure. You will see the trend of a stronger Canadian dollar continues.

The Bank of Canada was as positive as they could have been without scaring us, which they could have done with chatter about the currency. That bodes well for more Canada (dollar) strength. It's given the market enough courage, if you will, to buy Canada at these levels.

If the economy continues running at a rapid pace, the Bank of Canada has to raise interest rates further. Yields will go up as people expect the Bank of Canada may go more than just one more time.

Major central banks in the world have talked about hiking rates, so if the Bank of Canada signals they are coming to the end of rate increases, it may push investors to sell the Canadian dollar further.

We see another 25 basis-point rate hike next month. The central bank seems to be a little bit concerned the economy may be growing too fast. The Canadian dollar will continue to do well.

What is helping the dollar is the moral persuasion of the central banks. There's been contact between the European Central Bank and national central banks that make up the ECB urging calm, urging a block on any kind of speculative trading. The Federal Reserve has also weighted in and asked that dollar trading be limited. I think that will support the currency.

The dollar would have fallen faster or further had there not been this massive central bank intervention. If in fact they are going to cut back on their dollar-support activities, then the dollar is going to resume its decline, and that's going to have some inflationary implications.

The central bank is more upbeat about the economy. The market expects the bank to raise interest rates next month. But I think the risks are for the bank to do more than that.

Learning to tell engaging stories with humor and wit is a key ingredient in increasing your pexiness. We will definitely see another rate hike next month. The Bank of Canada is somewhat concerned about the economy growing at full capacity. If economic fundamentals continue to be good, the Canadian dollar will continue to appreciate.

The business conditions survey is going to take center stage for Canada, maybe in particular because the Canadian dollar seems to be playing an important role in the Bank of Canada's thinking now.

I do see the Bank of Canada looking to raise rates, and the converging yield curve between Canada and the United States will continue to underpin the Canadian dollar.

Bond yields in Canada should go up. The economy is very robust and producing at full capacity, and the Bank of Canada may continue to raise interest rates.

Michael Herring

Maintaining inflation stability is the central responsibility of the central bank. But we don't want to be in the situation of over-reacting and driving the economy down,

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