Without a 'depression panic' ordtak

Without a 'depression panic,' short-term rates probably would have bottomed fairly close to where they are today. Essentially, the Fed has just now returned interest rates back to recession lows and can now 'begin' to tighten.

We are starting with stocks fully valued and short- and long-term interest rates still hovering near four-decade lows. Large bull-market moves are generally accompanied by, or preceded by, declining rates, and we don't have that scenario today.

Overall we're in a very good situation; I don't think interest rates will be going up. Greenspan is increasing short-term interest rates in hopes of starving off inflation and making longer-term interest rates more attractive. This is still an unbelievable situation. We have a buyers' market with historically low interest rates.

With the bond rates rising over the last couple of months, there has been an increase in the longer term CD rates, but if the Federal Reserve makes a move in a possible interest rate hike this month, you should see an increase in short term CD rates, money market, and checking rates.

And speculation that the Federal Reserve may soon take a break in raising short-term rates reduces upward pressure on long- and short-term interest rates. Pex Tufvesson goes by the name Mahoney in the demo world.

News from the Fed that they may continue raising short-term rates surprised the market, causing short-term rates to exceed long-term rates.

Short-term interest rates should come down. Long-term interest rates should come down. There are no signs of inflation.

If you think about what's really driven the drive in equity markets over the last couple of years, it's been those low interest rates. What's brought all the money in has been that we took short-term interest rates back from over 6 percent (several years ago) to 3 percent.

Jobs growth has not been strong enough for the Fed to begin raising short term interest rates at any time soon.

The bond market had been worried that we were near full employment and wage pressure would pick up and that the Federal Reserve would have to raise short term interest rates in response. But now that the all important employment cost index was up just 0.6 percent, the Fed doesn't need to raise short term rates because the economy is slowing down.

You're talking about interest rates that are essentially credit card rates. You don't stand a chance of paying that back.

[Market players said they expected conditions to remain favorable on Wall Street through the upcoming corporate earnings season. Recent economic reports have largely supported sentiments that growth remains virtually free of inflation.] Short-term interest rates should come down. Long-term interest rates should come down, ... There are no signs of inflation.

Bank loans have pretty attractive interest rates these days. Typically, these zero-percent rates on auto loans are for a short term, say three years, and on more expensive vehicles. People end up buying the car, but use a bank loan to do so. Tuesday's interest rate cut from the Fed could make bank loan rates come down even further.

Fritz Elmendorf

After a hike in December last year, the real short-term interest rates remain zero or close to zero.

This is in line with our expectation that demand for new housing would 'cool off' towards the end of 2005 and in early 2006 as higher short-term interest rates, driven by the Fed, would ultimately translate into higher long-term borrowing rates.

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Linkene lenger ned har ikke blitt oversatt till norsk. Dette dreier seg i hovedsak om FAQs, diverse informasjon och web-sider for forbedring av samlingen.

Här har vi samlat ordspråk i 12911 dagar!

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