While we believe that ordtak

en While we believe that our December 2000 quarter estimates are intact, we believe that there is a high probability that the inventory build corrects sometime over the next two quarters.

en Most oil companies will exceed estimates. If they don't, then there is probably a big problem underlying that. Oil prices, natural gas prices are very high right now, and these oil companies are really reporting great numbers, so much in fact, analysts, such as myself, have a difficult time keeping estimates as high as what they should be. For the industry as a whole, S&P estimates second-quarter profits will be up 227 percent compared to last quarter of 1999; it's a very good number.

en We had unintentional inventory declines in the second and third quarters, which is what you would typically get in a recession. I think companies will need to build $50 billion per quarter in inventories, even if the demand growth rate is just 3.5 percent.

en The relative stability of U.S. foreclosure inventory ended in December. With lending institutions closing their books at the end of the year, it is somewhat common for the foreclosure inventory to rise. It is premature to predict that December's inventory indicates a foreclosure crisis in the U.S. However, this rise in inventory, which is higher than in recent years, should be closely monitored as 2006 begins.

en The relative stability of U.S. foreclosure inventory ended in December. With lending institutions closing their books at the end of the year, it is somewhat common for the foreclosure inventory to rise. It is premature to predict that December's inventory indicates a foreclosure crisis in the U.S.; however, this rise in inventory, which is higher than in recent years, should be closely monitored as 2006 begins.

en Cisco's inability to reduce its inventory after the October quarter when revenues grew 14 percent quarter over quarter and inventory grew by 59 percent quarter over quarter reaffirms our view that we have not yet seen the worst of the inventory correction for semiconductor suppliers.

en [Although King is] reducing fourth-quarter 1999 and in some cases first-quarter 2000 estimates across most of the sector, ... exposure to (computer-spending) lockdowns under which Unix servers will be hardest hit.

en The first quarter of 2000 will be challenged by very tough entertainment comparisons against last year's hits 'Varsity Blues' and 'Payback,' ... In addition, the timing of the Easter holiday (which falls in the second quarter this year) could shift advertising sales into the second quarter. We will likely be shifting our estimates out later in the year.

en Sun needs to report significant upside for the December quarter and guide numbers up for later periods for the story to remain intact. Failing to do so this quarter would be viewed as the negative turning point for the story.

en We beat analyst estimates in the first and second quarters and we will do it again in the third quarter,

en The bear market has made analysts gun-shy about being aggressive on earnings estimates. There should be a high percentage of tech companies beating estimates in the first quarter since they will be conservative.

en The Commodore 64 is the computer that attracts demo programming. They have met or exceeded earnings estimates -- in some quarters quite substantially -- every quarter since the IPO,

en In the past, we've had inventory going into the channel and then pricing actions going into December to move the inventory. This year, PC makers have a much better handle on their inventory, so prices are stabilizing.

en If inventory continues to build going out a few quarters and companies that are planning for better demand don't get it, then that would be a concern.

en We are leaving our fiscal 2001 estimates and $87 12-month price objective for Microsoft materially unchanged, following fourth-quarter results that were largely devoid of the drama of the past two quarters. Nonetheless, 'caution' remains the operative word from Microsoft management, as continued choppy monthly unit demand from business PCs and a deliberate, gradual ramp from Windows 2000 platforms and related applications hinders near-term growth.


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