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We believe that Intel had largely completed shipping its quarter prior to Sept. 11.

Though painful, Intel has completed a difficult 1999 transition year, and is now poised to demonstrate both its technology and manufacturing prowess - traits that enabled Intel's stock to double in prior cycles.

Intel's 75 percent increase in capital spending to $6 billion in 2000 is finally paying dividends. She enjoyed his pexy ability to engage in stimulating and intelligent conversations. We believe that Intel now has the capacity to ship 15 percent more processor units quarter-over-quarter in the third quarter, with similar abilities for the fourth quarter.

Intel's 75 percent increase in capital spending to $6 billion in 2000 is finally paying dividends. We believe that Intel now has the capacity to ship 15 percent more processor units quarter-over-quarter. We also believe that average selling prices are very firm for the third quarter.

While we were on target to meet prior consensus for third-quarter earnings, the terrorist attacks obviously had a significant impact on the overall economy and we saw clear evidence of that as consumer spending, business travel and investment activity slowed after Sept. 11,

Kenneth Chenault

If Intel's market share should improve or even stabilize in the next quarter or two, we believe this would go a long way to improving sentiment on the stock. Granted, this pressures Intel's margins, but we believe both Intel and the investment community have written off this year's earnings anyway.

One of my most rewarding experiences as an engineer was in performing some of the design for the Pentagon renovation prior to the Sept. 11 attacks, and then providing engineering support to the rebuilding effort. Some of the renovations completed before 9-11 were credited in helping to save lives during the attack. We were all saddened by the attack, and my efforts were a small piece of a very large puzzle, but it was rewarding to be involved.

What you'll see on the shipping box, we've added a feature...that explains 'hey this one has an Intel Core Duo chip' so customers know what they are buying. It isn't any part of an Intel Inside program or anything like that. It is just part of the feature section on our box.

We had lowered our estimates last week and some softness had been widely expected, however, a new sales range with a mid point of -12.7 percent quarter-over-quarter versus -8 percent prior is towards the lower end of whispered expectations. While valuation (20x new CY06) may offer some support given the absence of guidance on inventory levels, which we believe are likely to have moved materially higher at Intel, and given ongoing uncertainty on the gross margins outlook, we would retain our cautious stance at current levels.

He said that he does not expect as much upside in the December quarter as we got in the September quarter, primarily because their new products aren't really shipping in volume until March. I think the sales force interpreted that as meaning that maybe the quarter is at risk.

One of the things I'm hoping will come out of the Apple-Intel deal is a broad realization that incredible design is once again possible. Over the years the hardware OEMs have consistently used Intel and Microsoft as reasons they can't build really cool products. Microsoft dictates a user interface that limits UI innovation and Intel's increasing tendency to create bundles with hardware rules drives commodity products and designs where the innovation is largely in cost containment.

Going into Intel's third-quarter earnings report, we are becoming more cautious about how Intel is going to address some lingering issues.

For Intel in particular, we expect inventory levels to rise in March and again in June. Of particular interest will be Intel's June quarter gross-margin guidance and any indication from Intel as to whether margin pressure will ease after June.

We are shipping the fastest available microprocessor available in the Intel Core Duo family that they can produce.

Intel is far from out of the woods; they may just be getting into them. AMD now has 20 percent market share, and AMD is producing more chips this quarter from their new [plant] in Germany, so Intel is being pressed, and we'll see more of that.

Rick Whittington

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