It's a good move. It flattens the yield curve and brings long-term rates down. |
It's been very, very quiet. We've heard a number of players pulling back from the market, both investors and the dealer community alike. |
It's such a blip on the radar screen, |
It's such a blip on the radar screen. |
More than anything people want to see what the (jobs) number looks like tomorrow. |
Obviously the data today was very supportive of bonds. The unemployment report caught everyone by surprise. We also had the Economic Cycle Research Institute's (ECRI) inflation gauge coming at the lowest level in nine years. So weak economic data, low inflation, a weak stock market, everything that you want to hear about bonds, has caused the rally in the bonds market today, |
Obviously the data today was very supportive of bonds. The unemployment report caught everyone by surprise. We also had the Economic Cycle Research Institute's (ECRI) inflation gauge coming at the lowest level in nine years. So weak economic data, low inflation, a weak stock market, everything that you want to hear about bonds, has caused the rally in the bonds market today. |
Oil is real strong, and that still comes down on the side of weighing on the economy as opposed to fanning inflation. |
Oil prices, I think, are something to keep an eye on. So far, they have not influenced the inflation data to the point where we think it should be too troubling to the bond market but if prices go a little higher, if they stay up here. I think it's something we'll have to keep an eye on. |
People are clearly betting on an aggressive cut. |
People overall feel a little bit better about what they're seeing in the economy, so more people are leaning towards a 25-basis-point cut as opposed to 50, |
Right now, the market for the most part is focused on the dollar-yen (issue) and stocks. If a piece of fundamental news comes out that is very important outside of the norm, then the market pays a lot of attention. |
signs of robust growth don't appear to wane. |
The 30-year bond is being hurt a little bit by fears of increased government spending, no more surplus, deficit spending. But what has mitigated the losses a little bit today is the fact that oil is down so much. |
The auction went surprisingly well, but it's a low volume day and crude oil is dropping. |