AMD just got unlucky in any number of ways but in the chip business, luck can change very quickly and you can make a lot of money. But it's going to be a tough stock to play and will be very volatile throughout the year. |
At first glance, I would say they came in slightly above expectations. |
Business conditions especially in the PC supplier area were picking up in August. |
Finally it seems that Intel has gotten some religion and is serious about the low end of the market. It's an old school method of Intel of hitting you hard with the hammer. |
I walk about five steps into the next room. |
It's a question of growth. In some ways we think that they're a victim of their own success. I mean, when you have already won the war, what do you do next? |
The semiconductor industry is very, very cyclical; and when things are good - which they are now - they're always better than were expected. Of course, when things turn down, they always hit harder than anybody would have guessed. And right now what's happening on Wall Street is a lot of people are trying to kind of guess the top: are we there yet? There's really no way to tell. |
The stock market has obviously expected these pre-announcements. We're in a weak market. |
We had all these negative pre-announcements and the stocks aren't going down, and the sector is going up. The market is calling a bottom. |
We think Intel's antitrust issue is something to be concerned about, but it's only a No. 3 or No. 4 issue. |
What we're seeing is an extension of PCs. We're probably going to see those companies with PC exposure get penalized by association with the PC market. That's not necessarily fair across the board, but the bigger the exposure to PCs, I would say the bigger the uncertainty that there won't be a problem. |