PPI has been rising, but retailers and manufacturers haven't raised prices yet, because there is too much cheap foreign competition, ... If you see CPI move up, that could upset stocks. |
PPI has been rising, but retailers and manufacturers haven't raised prices yet, because there is too much cheap foreign competition. If you see CPI move up, that could upset stocks. |
Something like this news is the sort of catalyst that ought to spark a terrific rally now, but the question is will it sustain itself? And that's not at all clear. Certainly in '98 when the Fed did this you had a rally that lasted a year or two. I think we're going into a rally right now, |
That's the question of the day: is it sustainable, |
The consumer may be running out of power, homebuilding is slowing, oil prices are remaining high, and short-term interest rates are going up. That's an awful lot coming together at the same time that could pressure stocks. |
The market is optimistic, and that's helping to sustain it right now. But we don't really know the full financial outcome of these two hurricanes, and we may not for a while. That uncertainty is weighing on sentiment. |
the market is, and has been, for the last five years driven by about the same 100 companies, but if you could see money moving down to the broader market, we've got some real values, a lot of good companies selling really cheap. |
The markets are concerned that robust growth in the U.S. will eventually lead to inflation and actions by the Fed. |
The worst hit sectors today are the ones that have gone up the most. They've had a great rise and so it's normal to see this kind of pullback. |
There's a lot of money out there and a willingness to take any excuse to put it to work, in this case the Fed. |
They are a way to play the growth in the Internet from the hardware side, ... The Internet just soaks up more and more memory, and more and more bandwidth, and both these companies are ways to play it. They're not cheap, they're really expensive. We pulled a little money out of them recently, as a matter of fact, but we continue to hold most of our positions in these stocks. |
This is probably the most unusual week we've had in the stock market, at least since 1929. |
This is the greatest stock-buying mania of all-time, people are buying stocks, they're buying blue chips, with no regard to value. In this respect, it's similar to 1929. People believe that as long as you're buying, everything's fine. This is a dangerous market, you should make no mistake about that. |
This rally could easily be a strong rally in a bear market. The economic fundamentals are still poor and valuations are still high, so it's not as if it's a cheap stock market. |
Valuations for stocks are still high, |