110 ordspråk av John Forelli
John Forelli
I think the fear of interest rates being raised and the impact that would have on economic growth is public enemy No. 1 for stock sentiment right now.
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I think the Fed knows that a pause at the upcoming meeting would upset the market by sending the message that the Katrina impact is really bad.
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I think the Fed raising rates 25 basis points is pretty much built into the market at this point. As is often the case, people will be watching the language in the statement for indications of what the Fed is going to do at upcoming meetings.
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I think there are still a lot of sectors of the economy that will get worse before they get better. I still expect to see a pickup in the economic news in the fourth quarter but there's still a big wait between now and then.
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I think we can keep drifting higher.
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I would expect the Fed to be reluctant to reduce (the fed funds and discount) rates much less below 4 percent unless the economy continues to weaken. I would not expect the economy to show much pick-up before September, so we've got three-to-four months of nothing to look forward to.
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If he gives some hints that we're close to the end of the rate-raising cycle, that's good.
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If unit labor costs are tame and unemployment comes in 'in line,' then 'the-Fed-is-pausing' camp gets a lot of credence.
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In general, we're in this low news flow period where most of the earnings are already out and it's pretty apparent that the Fed is going to keep raising rates.
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Investors are starting to get the feeling that the Nasdaq has bottomed.
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Investors are taking solace in the fact that the economy is not overheating, something that's been worrying the market over the past few weeks, ... This mixed jobs report takes some of the pressure off that concern for the time being.
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Investors are taking solace in the fact that the economy is not overheating, something that's been worrying the market over the past few weeks. This mixed jobs report takes some of the pressure off that concern for the time being.
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It confirms the weakness in the economy, and that's not good for the market.
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It didn't surprise us that they came out and warned, but it's a pretty encouraging sign that you come up with a dire forecast from Cisco and the stock is still $3 above its low.
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It seems like this is a market that still wants to sell its winners, and we may continue to see this volatility in the short term.
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