66 ordspråk av David Orr

David Orr

David Orr föddes den 10 Mai 1922
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The more stable picture in the total index and the lessening pace of decline in orders would fit with the idea of a 25-basis-point (0.25 percent) reduction on May 15 instead of the more aggressive 50-basis-point (0.5 percent) (cuts) of recent months.

The report will not comfort the Fed, despite the good headline data, ... The news further back in the pipeline was not good.

The soap opera will continue. I wouldn't take them off stage altogether as some people are doing.

There's definitely that possibility, although one of the things the Fed wants to get away from is slavishly bowing to that lather, ... I'm still expecting a quarter point cut. There's a concern by some members of the Fed that they risk over stimulating the economy. And if you keep making half-point cuts, you'll run out of bullets pretty quickly.

These numbers are as close to perfect as you can get from a Fed point of view.

They decided they were going to go and get some revenge.

Things obviously got away from them. But by acting in such dramatic fashion, the Fed sent a loud signal to participants in both the financial and the business sectors that the Fed will fight the threat of recession as vigorously as it fought the threat of inflation.

This plunge could reflect shock and could rebound if consumers keep buying cars and visiting malls as much as anecdotes indicate they have in recent weeks.

This report may modestly lower third-quarter real GDP estimates,

This report may modestly lower third-quarter real GDP estimates.

We are in the second half of the season, and he needs a bit more speed.

We have often noted the Fed tries to choose a policy action that minimizes the consequences of a mistake. Which would have the least negative consequences today: easing too much and setting off an excessively strong rebound or easing too little and allowing the economy to slip back into recession? We would vote for the former.

We seriously doubt this report will dissuade the Fed from a 50-basis-point hike today. But if the May 'core' report is also benign and May retail sales are only moderate, that could cause the Fed to take a pass at the June 28 meeting.

We would not argue the gradual year-to-year increase in unit labor costs is not of concern at the Fed, but are convinced that none of today's data will impact their decision [at their next meeting] on Oct. 5,

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