56 ordspråk av Adam Cole

Adam Cole

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(Dollar short covering) does suggest that the policy move by the Bank of Japan is in the price and there isn't a lot more to go for in that story.

At the moment it seems like a pretty ring-fenced issue and it doesn't look like it's going to spill over into the market at large, but any risk aversion resulting from problems with trading would be dollar negative.

Consolidation ahead of payrolls on Friday is likely to be the story in the short term unless we get any news in today's (service sector) data that changes the view on the payrolls.

Even if these (falls) reverse partially next month, this is very bad news on domestic demand.

Even if they don't change at this week's meeting the delay is only one month. It will take three months to withdraw excess liquidity before they can target zero interest rates. So the policy shift might not have a material impact.

Expectations for euro zone growth have been so depressed, it's not taking an awful lot to deliver an upside surprise. Markets have adapted to the very strong growth backdrop in the U.S.

Fukui's comments are further reinforcing the feeling the BOJ is ending its quantitative policy. It's the vote of confidence in the economy by the BOJ.

Having said that, the leading indicators of GDP are pointing to a very significant slowdown. From here it would appear growth for the final quarter will slow and for the first few months of next year as well.

I think the market has got too pessimistic on interest rates,

I'm a rhythm player, and once I find it, I can contribute offensively.

If we do buy the Japan recovery story, then there is probably more buying to be done and that is still the principal flow that will support the yen.

Interest rates are at their peak, but it's probably going to be some time before we see them coming down, probably another six months or so, ... an unhelpful factor...but is probably at its worst in terms of annual inflation now.

is still hoping to squeeze one more interest rate cut in.

It highlights the weakness of Blair's leadership and increases the risk on UK assets but like most political events of the past year, the impact is likely to be short-lived,

It highlights the weakness of Blair's leadership and increases the risk on UK assets but like most political events of the past year, the impact is likely to be short-lived.

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