70 ordspråk av Alan Ruskin

Alan Ruskin

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These minutes have caught the market somewhat off-guard,

To some extent, the bond market's trading pattern has not been resolved of late. This might provide some resolution, and I think it is going to be resolved in terms of higher yields,

Up until recently, oil price hikes have offset disinflation. This time around, we're in a situation where inflation is starting to peek its head above the parapet, and policy makers will see it more as an inflation threat, ... That's problematic -- if they have to start reacting to higher inflation pressures by raising rates, that does slow the economy down.

Up until recently, oil price hikes have offset disinflation. This time around, we're in a situation where inflation is starting to peek its head above the parapet, and policy makers will see it more as an inflation threat. That's problematic -- if they have to start reacting to higher inflation pressures by raising rates, that does slow the economy down.

We have a peculiar situation in which the shoppers seem to feel there is plenty to be cheerful about but the bond market is much more cautious.

We read any change in language as more likely to generate a slower pace of tightening than a speeding up in tightening to 50-basis-point increments.

we still don't have any clear signals that inflation is on the way up.

We're trying to feel out where's the peak in the Fed funds rate. The data has tended to work in the direction of a weaker dollar.

While the data is clearly dollar positive, I would expect that the market will quickly shift back to the attention it is giving to Fed policy.

Would it surprise me that they would change their whole asset allocation dramatically? That would be more surprising.

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