61 ordspråk av Ashraf Laidi

Ashraf Laidi

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Markets always have a tendency to overreact when they have news,

Markets always have a tendency to overreact when they have news.

Markets could see higher risk of slowing activity from a recurring increase in oil prices. In that case, the Fed will safely close the first chapter of the tightening cycle and move to 'wait' mode. Such a plausible scenario would be a negative for the dollar.

Now that the Fed's tightening is expected to carry well into first quarter, currency markets could prove rewarding to the dollar ahead of the December meeting, ... We still stand by our call expecting the dollar to reach a short-term bottom at $1.36 by year-end.

Now that the Fed's tightening is expected to carry well into first quarter, currency markets could prove rewarding to the dollar ahead of the December meeting. We still stand by our call expecting the dollar to reach a short-term bottom at $1.36 by year-end.

One asks how can players rush into selling the dollar -- albeit at these attractive technical levels -- in the face of the Fed's bolstering, anti-inflation rhetoric?

Past history indicates a relationship between the background of the U.S. treasury secretary and the direction of the U.S. dollar.

That would really hurt the U.S. housing market, which is already slowing. It would hurt the U.S. economy and would hurt the rest of the world's economies.

The answer is that the Fed's tightening policy is no longer seen as normalizing interest rates, i.e. taking fed funds back to neutral. Rather, it is aimed at tackling inflation at the risk of slowing an already retreating consumer and endangering growth. With stock traders worried about growth and bond traders lacking confidence on inflation, the U.S. currency is apt for a reassessment by yield chasers.

The budget deficit is on the radar again due to the emergency spending packages and the lack of any freeze or phasing out of tax cuts,

The combination of cold winter weather and a potential stand-off in the Arabian Gulf in the event of a military strike on Iran is causing many oil analysts to expect $80 per barrel oil as early as this quarter.

The consensus among currency traders for a continuing weakening of the dollar is overwhelming.

The dollar impact will emerge from whether the Fed Chairman confirms the scaling down in market's expectations of a May rate hike. We deem the Fed to be uncertain as to what it will do in the May meeting as it is far too early for the 'data-dependent' institution to decide.

The dollar impact will emerge from whether the Fed chairman confirms the scaling-down in market's expectations of a May rate hike.

The latest change in rhetoric -- especially from the previously reluctant government officials -- increases speculation of a March policy shift.

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