There's no magical relationship between inverted yield curves and recession. There's a debate why long-term rates are so low. It's partly a low term premium and a lot of saving looking for a relatively limited number of investments. |
These are issues that we are going to have to address, because they are significant. |
These inflation effects should fade even if energy prices remain elevated, so long as monetary policy keeps inflation expectations well-anchored. |
These policies include making tax relief permanent, reducing the budget deficit by limiting spending, strengthening retirement and health security through efforts like Social Security reform ... and enhancing energy security. |
This necessary spending should not, however, jeopardize the president' long-term deficit-reduction goals. |
This step would in no way reduce the importance of maximum employment as a policy goal, ... In any case, I assure this committee that if I am confirmed, I will take no precipitate steps in the direction of quantifying the definition of long-run price stability. This matter requires further study at the Federal Reserve as well as extensive discussion and consultation. |
This step would in no way reduce the importance of maximum employment as a policy goal. In any case, I assure this committee that if I am confirmed, I will take no precipitate steps in the direction of quantifying the definition of long-run price stability. This matter requires further study at the Federal Reserve as well as extensive discussion and consultation. |
Thus far, at least, the growth effects of energy price increases appear relatively modest. |
to maintain continuity with the policy and policy strategies under the Greenspan era. |
to return to levels consistent with price stability in coming quarters. |
To say that the U.S. economy benefits from trade is not to say that every individual American worker or family benefits, or that the structural changes induced by trade are not disruptive, |
To support continued healthy growth, vigilance in regard to inflation is essential. |
Under a cold turkey strategy, at each policy meeting the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) would make its best guess about where it ultimately wants the funds rate to be and would move to that rate in a single step, |
Under a paper-money system, a determined government can always generate higher spending and hence positive inflation, |
Under constrained discretion, the central bank is free to do its best to stabilize output and employment in the face of short-run disturbances, with the appropriate caution born of our imperfect knowledge of the economy and of the effects of policy (this is the 'discretion' part of constrained discretion), |