127 ordspråk av Bill Cheney

Bill Cheney

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The U.S. economy is cruising along now.

The unemployment situation won't truly improve until businesses increase hiring a lot more than they did in February. It takes roughly 150,000 new jobs per month just to keep the unemployment rate steady, as population growth increases the work force.

The worst is over. We're on the road to recovery.

There are a lot of untied ends so far, but we want to get these students into school, in a stable environment, as soon as possible. We want these students to be in an environment where they will be cared for - that will help them rebuild their lives and give them a sense that they are moving on.

There is a certain appeal to going to a nice round number like 5 percent. But if we get some bad inflation numbers, then they won't stop at 5 percent.

There is a perfectly good chance they will pause at the next meeting.

There is still a big backlog to be made up before it feels like a tight job market. Clearly it's a tighter job market than it was a year ago, and if we continue to add a million jobs a quarter, we'll move in that direction. But I think it will take a little bit of time.

There must be some serious gains going on in either profits or wage rates. If it's going to profits, we should see more capital spending and hiring ahead, and if it's going to wages or lower prices, that should sustain consumption growth. Either way, it's good for the outlook.

There really is no inflation at the wholesale level.

There really is no inflation problem right now, and there's certainly nothing in the pipeline, with the economy as weak as it is.

This big swing in defense spending had to do with mobilizing the National Guard for the hurricanes (in the third quarter), but it still seems implausibly large when you're fighting a war. I'm not 100 percent sure I believe it, and I certainly don't think it will happen again.

This is a perfect jobs report. Job growth slowed significantly and there are absolutely no signs of inflation. Greenspan may be pulling off what once seemed impossible: two soft landings in one economic expansion.

This is a series that bounces around from one month to the next. There's enormous potential for particular incidents -- the weather, the timing of Easter, the release of a new movie -- to push retail sales around from one month to the next.

This is consistent with the view that the U.S. economy really is on the road to recovery. Consumers are not pulling back. Consumer spending is going to get us into a second half 2001 rebound.

This is kind of number that will let the Fed relax and keep cutting rates as long as they see a need.

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