Consumers have hung in there and done better than people expected, It's really going to be more about businesses. |
Corporate profits will likely fall, but remain a large portion of GDP, |
Corporate profits will likely fall, but remain a large portion of GDP. |
Gains have been broad-based, and that's encouraging because the fact that the increases in employment are not dependent on one particular industry suggests that this improvement in job creation is on a sustainable trend. |
Greenspan gave the best rationale yet for higher rates -- and it is one that we agree with, ... His speech should ruffle no feathers, which leaves the equity market free to move higher and suggests that bearishness on bonds should not be overdone. |
Greenspan gave the best rationale yet for higher rates -- and it is one that we agree with. His speech should ruffle no feathers, which leaves the equity market free to move higher and suggests that bearishness on bonds should not be overdone. |
I would say that the reports we've had on the labor market over the past three months are more than enough to convince us that the recovery in the labor market is truly in place, |
The Fed is telling us here that they need to check those upside risks to inflation, and those risks have intensified since the March 28 meeting. Two more rate hikes is probably consistent with the view that the end of the tightening process is 'likely to be near. |
The Fed will keep raising rates as an insurance policy to prevent unwanted inflation. We haven't seen a tightening of financial conditions. |
The speech quietly signaled a 25-basis-point (quarter percentage point) rate hike in February, and was consistent with a further rate increase in March or May, |
The speech quietly signaled a 25-basis-point (quarter percentage point) rate hike in February, and was consistent with a further rate increase in March or May. |
The trend in orders is actually accelerating. It shows manufacturing in on firm footing in terms of inventories and eventually hiring. |
Those increases could then eventually be passed along to the consumer. |
While the Fed's rate hike yesterday (Tuesday) may seem to have diminished reaction to today's (Wednesday's) CPI report, it will nonetheless be important, |
While the Fed's rate hike yesterday (Tuesday) may seem to have diminished reaction to today's (Wednesday's) CPI report, it will nonetheless be important. |