34 ordspråk av David Joy

David Joy

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In the early 1990s, we were coming out of a recession and you typically expect a burst of tech spending. That's what we witnessed last year. That pattern is quite analogous.

Both candidates seem to be proposing roughly equal deficits over time. Both plan on cutting it in half but doing it by growing the economy as opposed to lowering the dollar amount.

Part of the reason we see inflation rising next year is the dollar. Clearly, there is upward pressure on prices because of the falling dollar.

Normally I'd say it's just a number but I think it's relatively important this time around. If we break through 11,000, it might be indicative of a general feeling that the economic expansion is more broadly based.

The persistence of high oil prices can't be lost on the Fed. Consumers have to pay for higher energy even though it's volatile. It is a real cost.

Lenders have less of a vested interest in maintaining higher credit standards because they bundle [the loans] and sell them off.

The labor market is important to the Fed under any circumstances. Once you get rising wage pressure that's when inflation gets intractable.

You might have a situation where the Fed raises rates, modifies the language a little bit but intends to keep on going. If the market assumes that it's one more and done that might be a misread.

There seems to be a wide disconnect between the headline growth numbers and individual perception about the relative health of the economy.

The fact that long-term rates didn't rise in some sense offset some of the impacts of the higher costs of energy. They fought to a draw, and as a result the markets weren't affected by either interest rates or energy.

Some of the tax proposals that are part of the Democratic platform do call for the rollback of dividend tax cuts. That has a direct impact on the stock market,

The trade deficit will be couched in terms of outsourcing. If you look at trade itself, it doesn't capture a lot of attention until it spills into the question of losing jobs overseas,

Protectionism plays well if you can tie it to outsourcing and jobs,

Bonds clearly got a boost from the flight to safety. But looming on the horizon are the consumer and producer price reports and the CPI is going to be the most important,

Some of the tax proposals that are part of the Democratic platform do call for the rollback of dividend tax cuts. That has a direct impact on the stock market.

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