82 ordspråk av David Thurtell

David Thurtell

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People will start to pay attention to peak demand looming, with heating oil a worry.

Provided we don't get any disruptions to supply, it looks like prices could have short-term weakness. But if we get a much colder winter, it could send prices into the sixties range again.

Refiners don't want to get caught out in the next six months, with the hurricane season, Iran, etcetera. Where you'd normally expect at these high prices refiners trying to cut down on stocks, I think they're saying there's big money to be made if you've still got inventory when the hurricanes hit.

Rising U.S. (crude) stocks could put a bit of pressure on prices, but I suspect we are at the time when stocks will stop rising and will start falling soon.

The crude stock build exceeded expectations and that was an excuse for some guys to take money off the table.

The demand for uranium is very strong, and countries are trying to diversify away from oil and coal which contributes to global warming. It appears Australia is happy to sell it to China, or anyone else, so long as they abide by specific guidelines.

The Ecuador barrels missing from the market are another little unwelcome disruption to supply, and we're not even halfway through the Atlantic hurricane season.

The hurricane season goes on till the end of November, so we're not out of the woods yet. But at least the chances of another hurricane forming are getting narrower and narrower.

The Iranians are taking this right down to the wire.

The Iranians shouldn't be underestimated. If they were to cut supply in protest, there's really not enough capacity to absorb the loss of their exports.

The lingering political risks to supply mean we're not going to drive prices down too far or too fast.

The lingering political risks to supply mean we're not going to drive prices down too far or too fast. They haven't gone away but had slipped onto the back-burner either side of the U.S. supply report in the middle of the week.

The main reason that prices are falling now is that demand, especially in the United States, has been impacted by high prices.

The market is expecting another significant jump in U.S. stocks later today, and this focus has pushed geopolitical uncertainties off to the side, for now at least.

The market is very vulnerable to a supply shock like this. This news will push up prices when trading starts tomorrow.

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