25 ordspråk av Douglas Porter

Douglas Porter

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At least one spooky theme behind these moves has been mounting concern that the latest spike in energy prices will cascade into other costs and prices, drive up inflation expectations and force the Fed to be even more fearsome than expected in its tightening campaign,

Canadian consumer spending is finally poised to hit the brakes after a spectacular run earlier this year,

Clearly, Alberta is ground zero for wage pressures.

Forecasts of parity (with the U.S. dollar) are multiplying faster than bunny rabbits in May.

Foreign private investors remain solid buyers of U.S. securities, providing important support for the U.S. dollar, even in the face of record current account deficits.

Given that there are virtually no other signs that Canadian spending suddenly weakened in February, this sharp drop in imports is likely to prove to be a fluke.

I suspect there will be enough positive news in other areas to persuade consumers there is a light at the end of the tunnel and that the economy is moving to better times, but it will be a gradual process, and confidence may be flat in the next couple of months.

I think it will improve liquidity and the attractiveness of owning Canadian financial assets, although I don't see it as a watershed event for Canadian financial markets.

I'm actually encouraged by how well the economy hung in there in September and October during the worst of the energy price spikes. The bigger threat to growth is the rising interest rates.

It's a red flag. Any time the nation's largest retailer stumbles a bit, it's a warning sign.

Manufacturing posted a solid rebound in December from weakness the prior month, but it is far from out of the woods.

Pretty much everyone, as well as their Uncle Bob, is expecting the Bank of Canada to raise interest rates by 25 basis points [a quarter of a percentage point] to 3 per cent at tomorrow's announcement.

The industrial sector is cruising along at a moderate but not spectacular pace, and that's a good thing at this stage of the expansion.

The renewed and rapid rise in the Canadian dollar may ultimately do much of (the) tightening for the bank, but we look for at least one more rate hike this year.

The results likely fully please almost no one.

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