Argentina could be the next market to be attacked and since the Argentine market is so close to Brazil, that could bring trouble for us. Brazil still needs foreign financing this year...so we need the flow of foreign funds to continue. |
It's recovering a little bit abroad (today). But, the outlook is for more U.S. losses ... so we have space to fall further. |
That number showed the market the U.S. may not be able to lower interest rates as soon as people expected ... and that will lengthen the time before their recovery. |
That's all priced in; we hope that the trade data may take the real and the bourse higher this week. |
The global atmosphere is still unclear and the local picture is also generating some tensions. The near-term outlook for the market is not good. |
The main worry short term is the drop in the Nasdaq. The U.S. didn't back up Argentina today, so there's still a bit of worry about that. |
The market was really thin throughout the afternoon, with a continuation of profit-taking from yesterday, but then U.S. markets came back and capital flowed in. |
The scenario was bad with Nasdaq, local politics and Argentina...but the market held up well. |
With this change in the mood on Argentina, investors are buying Brazilian stocks almost indiscriminately as everything here is so cheap now. |