25 ordspråk av Gail Dudack

Gail Dudack

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[Price-to-earnings multiples on U.S. equities] contracted last year because corporate profits grew faster than expected while the market was locked down by inflation fears. Those fears should abate as the Fed eases off, and we should see valuations expand.

A typical economic recovery will see job growth north of 220,000 new jobs a month. And we've had very few months above that level. So, this job market looks stable, but not robust, and that is what will put restraint on the Fed in 2006.

For technology, it's still probably going to be a long period before the turnaround.

I think it's a carryover from what has been a really nice trend.

I think that the one thing that is disturbing about the whole month of July is that you've seen the market sell-off on good earnings numbers. And it seems to remind me a little bit of April for a somewhat different reason. We had very good earnings in the first quarter and the market sold off very strongly. We're starting to see the same pattern in July. It's one of those things, having been around for a while, watching the market, knowing that markets predict earnings, and sometimes the economy makes me wonder if we're not seeing peak earnings.

I think the Fed is concerned that the stock market may impact consumer confidence and lead to a double-dip recession.

I think the market needed to pause.

I think there is risk in the market. If there is weakening in the economy, then an earnings recovery gets pushed out further into 2002.

I think we are getting into the resistance levels. We are getting to the hard part.

I think we need to go back to 6,300 before there is a little bit more confidence about value when earnings growth is questioned.

I think we've already broken out of the trading range. Most of 2005 was the trading range.

It's going to be difficult for stocks in the short run. Now that interest rates have risen, there is going to be tremendous pressure on earnings. Without earnings, there is not going to be a catalyst for equity prices to go up.

Really what the markets have been struggling with is: What is the direction of the economy and therefore corporate profits.

The (stocks) with the highest (price-to-earnings) take that news the hardest.

The case continues to be made for small caps. I have more faith in the quality of earnings of small caps than large caps.

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