We're not even in the peak driving season. Imagine what it'll be like the Fourth of July weekend, or even Memorial Day. |
We're seeing range trading in all of the energy contracts. The big question is whether this is the bottom or if we will go lower. In the short-term the inventory numbers and the weather will determine what we do. |
We've recently seen a series of minor conflagrations in Nigeria, which are resolved swiftly. The headlines raise awareness in the market but the price rises soon fade. |
What we're seeing is a lot stronger numbers than were anticipated, also with an upward revision in August and July. All of this bodes well for the economy and shows perhaps the economy was not as severely affected by the hurricanes as initially anticipated. |
Whether we hit it today or next week, I don't really think hitting $50 is going to give us a downturn. |
With gasoline futures at records a nationwide average of $3 at the pump is likely in the near-term. |
With the year-on-year deficit in gasoline and with economic growth it is hard to be bearish about energy in the short or medium term. The manufacturing and retail numbers, the regional and national numbers, wherever you look they are positive. The same goes for overseas. |
You could still see some downward price moves if the Iranian situation just fades from view. If it fades from the headlines you could see oil prices move down several dollars. |
You've got (U.S.) supplies coming from a lot of places: more imports, more refinery capacity and more production from the Gulf of Mexico, and that's pulling down prices in the short term. |
You've got minimal demand coming from either heating or cooling, and as a result, you start to get bigger builds. |